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作 者:杜娟[1] 胡亚平[2] 朱述斌 DU Juan;HU Yaping;ZHU Shubin(School of Economics and Management,Jiangxi Agricultural University,Nanchang 330045,China;School of Computer and Information Engineering,Jiangxi Agricultural University,Nanchang 330045,China;New Rural Development Institute,Jiangxi Agricultural University,Nanchang 330045,China)
机构地区:[1]江西农业大学经济管理学院,江西南昌330045 [2]江西农业大学计算机与信息工程学院,江西南昌330045 [3]江西农业大学新农村发展研究院,江西南昌330045
出 处:《农林经济管理学报》2021年第6期749-758,共10页Journal of Agro-Forestry Economics and Management
基 金:国家自然科学基金项目(71840013、41701622);江西省高校人文社会科学项目(SH21202)。
摘 要:利用对林农连续8年跟踪调查的纵向数据,运用系统广义估计方程(GEE)的Logistic面板回归模型,揭示变量之间的调节作用和内生性等关系。结果表明:(1)不同林分结构的家庭林地资源禀赋对林农职业分化决策存在差异化影响,经济林对集体林区林农从事林业生产的吸引力最强,用材林次之,竹林最弱。(2)不同林分结构林地对林农职业分化决策的吸附效应在生态公益林补偿政策作用下进一步分化,经济林、用材林被划为生态公益林促进林农务农,而竹林被划为生态公益林则促进林农非农就业。(3)通过地理位置交互项分析可知,区域偏远因素会削弱林地资源对集体林区林农务农的吸引力。基于此,提出全面提高森林质量、根据林分结构优化轮伐政策、分类实施生态公益林补偿政策及发展绿色林业等政策建议。With longitudinal survey data of farmers collected from eight consecutive years,the paper strengthened the forest species and eco-forest attributes,using Logistic panel regression model of systematic Generalized Estimation Equation(GEE).The results show that:(1)The household forest resource endowment of each forest type had differentiated effects on farmers’career differentiation decision-making.The gravitation of economic forest to farmers in collective forest areas engaged in forestry production is the strongest,timber forest followed,bamboo forest is the weakest(.2)The attraction effect of each forest type on farmers’career differentiation was further polarized under eco-forest compensation policy performance.Once economic forest and timber forest was certified into eco-forest,the forestland owner tended to be engaged in agriculture production.While bamboo forest certified to eco-forest,it promoted farmers’non-agriculture employment.(3)Geographic location interaction analysis showed that regional remoteness weakened the forest resources attraction to farmers in collective forest areas.Therefore,this paper puts forward some policy suggestions,such as improving the forest quality comprehensively,optimizing the rotation cutting policy according to each forest type,implementing the classified collective eco-forest compensation policy and developing green forestry.
关 键 词:生态公益林补偿政策 林农职业分化 广义估计方程模型(GEE) 状态依赖
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