有恒产者的恒心:农民工住房状况与就业稳定性研究  

The Perseverance of Homeowners:Research on Housing Conditions and Employment Stability of Migrant Workers

作　　者：刘斌 张翔 LIU Bin;ZHANG Xiang(Research Center for Economy of Upper Reaches of the Yangtze River,Chongqing Technology and Business University,Chongqing 400067,China;School of Accounting,Chongqing University of Technology,Chongqing 400054,China)

机构地区：[1]重庆工商大学长江上游经济研究中心,重庆400067 [2]重庆理工大学会计学院,重庆400054

出　　处：《西部论坛》2021年第6期67-80,共14页West Forum

基　　金：国家社科基金项目(17CJY018);重庆工商大学高层次人才科研启动项目(1655002)。

摘　　要：采用中国流动人口动态监测数据与地级市数据合并,探索了住房状况对农民工就业稳定性的影响及其机制。首先,基准模型和工具变量模型估计结果均表明:在打工所在城市有住房的农民工,其就业稳定性更高。其次,通过对可能的中介效应和调节效应的观察发现:住房产权通过房奴效应和锁定效应提高了农民工的就业稳定性;房价上涨会提升有房农民工的就业稳定性。最后,根据住房类型、就业身份和代际差异进行的异质性探讨发现:自有住房产权农民工的就业稳定性最高,租住政府公租房和单位住房者的就业稳定性高于租住私人住房者,而居住临时住所者的就业稳定性最低;住房产权对雇主型农民工就业稳定性的影响大于雇员型农民工,对中老生代农民工就业稳定性的影响大于新生代农民工。Using the dynamic monitoring data of China’s migrant population and the data of prefecture-level cities,the impact of housing conditions on the employment stability of migrant workers and its mechanism were explored.Firstly,the results of the benchmark model and instrumental variable model show that the employment stability of migrant workers who have housing in the cities where they work is significantly higher.Secondly,by observing the possible mediating effect and moderating effect,we find that housing property rights improve the employment stability of migrant workers through the house slave effect and lock-in effect.In addition,the rise of housing prices will enhance the employment stability of migrant workers with houses.Finally,according to the heterogeneity of housing type,employment status and generational differences,it is found that the employment stability of migrant workers with self-owned housing property rights is the highest,the employment stability of those who live in public rental housing and employer’s housing is higher than that of those who rent and live in private housing,and the employment stability of those who rent and live in temporary housing is the lowest.Housing property rights have a greater impact on the employment stability of employer-based migrant workers than on employee-based migrant workers,and it has a greater impact on the employment stability of middle-and old-generation migrant workers than on the new generation of migrant workers.

关 键 词：农民工 就业稳定性 住房产权 房奴效应 锁定效应 

分 类 号：F240[经济管理—劳动经济]