科技创新对低碳经济的影响研究——基于省际面板数据的实证分析  

Research on the Impact of Technological Innovation on Low-carbon Economy:Empirical Analysis based on Inter-provincial Panel Data

作　　者：牛宝春 崔光莲[2] 张喜玲[1] NIU Bao-chun;CUI Guang-lian;ZHANG Xi-ling(School of Finance,Xinjiang University of Finance and Economics,Urumqi Xinjiang 830012,China;Xinjiang University of Finance and Economics,Urumqi Xinjiang 830012,China)

机构地区：[1]新疆财经大学金融学院,新疆乌鲁木齐830012 [2]新疆财经大学,新疆乌鲁木齐830012

出　　处：《技术经济与管理研究》2022年第1期43-48,共6页Journal of Technical Economics & Management

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(71663047);新疆财经大学研究生科研创新项目(XJUFE2019B005)。

摘　　要：文章基于1998—2019年中国30个省份的面板数据,通过基准模型估计、异质性分析以及空间面板模型的估计,系统考察了科技创新对低碳经济的影响。研究结果显示:总体来看,科技创新会显著促进低碳经济的发展;降低能耗是科技创新影响低碳经济的重要机制;以秦岭—淮河为界对比来看,北方地区相较于南方地区来说,科技创新对低碳经济的刺激作用更大;伴随着低碳经济的发展,科技创新对低碳经济的促进作用总体呈下降趋势;另外,其他地区的科技创新会对本地区低碳经济产生正向溢出效应。最后,根据上述研究结论,文章提出可行的政策建议。Based on the panel data of 30 regions in China from 1998 to 2019,this paper systematically examines the impact of technological innovation on the low-carbon economy through benchmark model estimation,heterogeneity analysis,and spatial panel model estimation.The results of the study show that:Overall,technological innovation will significantly promote the development of a low-carbon economy;Reducing energy consumption is an important mechanism for technological innovation to affect the low-carbon economy;Compared with the southern region,technological innovation in the northern region has a greater stimulus effect on the low-carbon economy;With the development of low-carbon economy,the role of technological innovation in promoting low-carbon economy is generally on a downward trend;In addition,technological innovation in other regions will have a positive spillover effect on the region’s low-carbon economy.Finally,based on the above research conclusions,this article puts forward some feasible policy recommendations.

关 键 词：科技创新 低碳经济 面板分位数模型 空间面板模型 

分 类 号：F124[经济管理—世界经济]