返贫风险及脱贫成果巩固的区域异质性分析  

Regional heterogeneity analysis of return to poverty risk and consolidation of poverty alleviation achievements

作　　者：王怡 郭萌[1,2] WANG Yi;GUO Meng(The New Style Think Tank of Shaanxi Universities Shangluo Development Research Institute,Shangluo 726000,Shaanxi,China;Shangluo University,Shangluo 726000,Shaanxi,China)

机构地区：[1]陕西高校新型智库商洛发展研究院,陕西商洛726000 [2]商洛学院,陕西商洛726000

出　　处：《湖北农业科学》2022年第1期211-217,共7页Hubei Agricultural Sciences

基　　金：2019年度国家社会科学基金西部项目(19XJL002);陕西省哲学社会科学重大理论与现实问题研究项目(2021ND0102)。

摘　　要：通过对2013—2019年14个片区贫困广度、贫困深度、贫困强度的计算,对连片特困地区自确立以来的脱贫成果与返贫风险进行了宏观判断。结果表明,其整体减贫成效显著,但演进速度与进程存在时空差异,脱贫效果与返贫风险呈现区域异质性。脱贫成果巩固困难、返贫风险最大的是新疆南疆三地州、六盘山区、滇西边境山区以及乌蒙山区。返贫风险较小的片区有大兴安岭南麓山区、秦巴山区、燕山-太行山区、罗霄山区和吕梁山区。为此提出锚定重点区域短板指标,突破跨区域治理矛盾,挖掘多主体功能,有效衔接乡村振兴保障可持续发展等政策建议。Through the calculation of poverty breadth,poverty depth and poverty intensity in 14 areas from 2013 to 2019,this study made a macro judgment on the results of poverty alleviation and the risk of returning to poverty in the contiguous extremely poor areas since their establishment.The results show that the overall poverty reduction effect is remarkable,but there are temporal and spatial differences in the evolution speed and process,and the poverty alleviation effect and poverty return risk show regional heterogeneity.The three prefectures in southern Xinjiang,Liupan mountain area,western Yunnan border mountain area and Wumeng mountain area are the most difficult to consolidate the results of poverty alleviation and the greatest risk of returning to poverty.Areas with low risk of poverty return include the southern foot of Daxing’an mountains,Qinba mountains,Yanshan Taihang mountains,Luoxiao mountains and Luliang mountains.Therefore,some policy suggestions are put forward,such as anchoring the weak board indicators of key re⁃gions,breaking through the contradiction of cross regional governance,excavating multi-body functions,effectively connecting rural revitalization and ensuring sustainable development.

关 键 词：返贫风险 脱贫成果巩固 乡村振兴 区域经济 连片特困地区 

分 类 号：F302[经济管理—产业经济]