中国与“一带一路”沿线国家木质林产品贸易升级影响因素分析  

Influencing Factors to Woody Forest Products Trade Upgrading Between China and Countries Along the “Belt and Road”

作　　者：杨光 田寰宇 田刚[1] Yang Guang;Tian Huanyu;Tian Gang(College of Economics and Management,Northeast Forestry University,Harbin 150040,China;Gas Production Branch,Daqing Oilfield Co.,Ltd.,Daqing 163000,Heilongjiang,China)

机构地区：[1]东北林业大学经济管理学院,哈尔滨150040 [2]大庆油田有限责任公司采气分公司,黑龙江大庆163000

出　　处：《世界林业研究》2021年第6期104-109,共6页World Forestry Research

基　　金：黑龙江省哲学社会科学研究规划项目“中俄森林资源可持续合作开发与利用创新机制研究”(19GJD208)。

摘　　要：文中基于2013-2018年相关数据,运用时变随机前沿引力模型,对中国与"一带一路"沿线国家木质林产品贸易规模及贸易效率的影响因素进行实证分析发现:在贸易规模层面,沿线国家人均GDP与人口规模起到正向的促进作用,空间距离以及贸易伙伴国是否为发达国家产生负向的阻碍作用;在贸易效率层面,"政策沟通"和"设施联通"对中国木质林产品贸易效率升级产生了显著的促进作用,"贸易畅通"和"民心相通"因其建设的长期性和复杂性,制约了中国木质林产品国际贸易效率的提升。据此,从巩固"设施联通"和"贸易畅通"的建设成果、积极推动中国林产工业转型、提升对"民心相通"建设重要性及长期性的认识等方面提出相应对策建议。Based on the relevant data from 2013 to 2018, the paper uses the time-varying stochastic frontier gravity model to conduct an empirical analysis of the factors affecting the trade scale and trade efficiency of woody forest products between China and the countries along the “Belt and Road”. It is found that, at the level of trade scale, the GDP per capita and the population size play a positive role in promoting the trade, and the spatial distance and whether the trading partner is a developed country give a negative play;and at the level of trade efficiency, “policy communication” and “facility connectivity” are the significant factors to increase the efficiency of China’s woody forest product trade while “blocked trade” and “people-to-people bonds” restrict the trade efficiency due to the long-term and complex process. Accordingly, corresponding countermeasures and suggestions are put forward for consolidating the achievements in “facility connectivity”and “ unblocked trade”, actively promoting the transformation of China’s forestry industry, and raising awareness of the importance and long-term nature of enhancing “people-to-people bonds”.

关 键 词：木质林产品 贸易规模 贸易效率 "一带一路"沿线国家 中国 

分 类 号：F746[经济管理—国际贸易]