广东省对外贸易对经济高质量发展影响研究——基于ARDL模型的检验  

Study on the Influence of Foreign Trade on High Quality Development of Economy in Guangdong Province——Test Based on ARDL Model

作　　者：吴雯雯 WU Wen-wen(School of Economics and Management,Fujian Normal University,350000,Fuzhou,Fujian,China)

机构地区：[1]福建师范大学经济学院,福建福州350000

出　　处：《特区经济》2021年第12期81-89,共9页Special Zone Economy

摘　　要：为探究广东省对外贸易对经济高质量发展的影响,本文基于国内外相关研究成果,阐述对外贸易对经济高质量的传导机理,评估经济高质量发展指数,刻画广东经济高质量的特征事实,并通过搭建ARDL模型来验证对外贸易与经济高质量发展的实证关系。最终得出结论,广东省进口贸易对经济高质量综合指数具有显著的负向影响,出口贸易在短期和长期均有利于高质量发展,文章针对该省外贸现状提出发展对策,以期更好地推动经济发展提质增效。To explore the Guangdong foreign trade’s influence on the quality and economic development, this article is based on related research results at home and abroad, expounds the mechanism of conduction of foreign trade on economic quality, evaluates economic development index, depicts the characteristic fact of high quality of Guangdong economy, and through the establishment of ARDL model to verify the empirical relationship between foreign trade and high-quality economic development. Finally, it is concluded that the import trade of Guangdong province has a significant negative impact on the comprehensive index of economic quality, and the export trade is conducive to high-quality development in both the short and long term. This paper puts forward the development countermeasures according to the status quo of foreign trade in Guangdong province, in order to better improve the quality and efficiency of economic development.

关 键 词：对外贸易 经济高质量发展 实证关系 

分 类 号：F752.8[经济管理—国际贸易]