亚吉铁路列车开行方案关键要素对客运需求的影响研究  

Influence Research of the Key Factors of Operation Plan on Passenger Demand at the Ethio-Djibouti Railway

作　　者：张晓宇 ZHANG Xiao-yu(China Civil Engineering Construction Corporation,Beijing 100038,China)

机构地区：[1]中国土木工程集团有限公司,北京100038

出　　处：《工程建设与设计》2022年第3期83-86,共4页Construction & Design for Engineering

摘　　要：旅客在亚的斯亚贝巴与吉布提间可以选择不同的出行方式。如何使亚吉铁路在多种运输方式中借助自身的服务优势,在相同运距下吸引更多的客流是重要且值得研究的问题。因此,论文以此为着眼点,对亚吉铁路开行方案的关键要素进行调整,并采用MNL模型分析研究关键要素调整后对客运需求产生的影响。通过调整亚吉铁路旅客列车的运行速度和票价,可以提高亚吉铁路在运输市场中的竞争力。Passengers can choose different modes of travel between Addis Ababa and Djibouti.How to make the Ethio-Djibouti railway take good use of its own service advantages in a variety of transportation modes and attract more passengers under the same distance is an important issue worthy of study.Therefore,this article takes this as the focus,adjusts the key factors of the Ethio-Dj ibouti railway's operation plan,and uses the MNL model to analyze and study the impact of key elements on passenger demand after the adjustment.By adjusting the running speed and ticket prices of passenger trains on the Ethio-Dj ibouti railway,the competitiveness of railway in the transportation market can be improved.

关 键 词：亚吉铁路 开行方案 MNL模型 客运分担率 

分 类 号：U292.4[交通运输工程—交通运输规划与管理] U429.9[交通运输工程—道路与铁道工程]