防疫豁免政策下的飞行机组舱内警觉性预测仿真  

Simulation on alertness prediction of flight crew in cockpit under epidemic prevention exemption policy

作　　者：孙瑞山[1,2] 孙军亚 何鹏 卢飞 SUN Ruishan;SUN Junya;HE Peng;LU Fei(Flight Academy,Civil Aviation University of China,Tianjin 300300,China;Research Institute of Civil Aviation Safety,Civil Aviation University of China,Tianjin 300300,China;College of Air Traffic Management,Civil Aviation University of China,Tianjin 300300,China)

机构地区：[1]中国民航大学飞行分校,天津300300 [2]中国民航大学民航安全科学研究所,天津300300 [3]中国民航大学空中交通管理学院,天津300300

出　　处：《中国安全生产科学技术》2022年第1期5-10,共6页Journal of Safety Science and Technology

基　　金：中国民航大学研究生科技创新基金项目(2020YJB003);天津市教委科研计划项目(2020KJ029);国家自然科学基金青年基金项目(71701202)。

摘　　要：为验证《疫情期间豁免机组成员值勤期、飞行时间限制的实施办法》的可行性,以及为其提供科学依据。以飞行机组成员在驾驶舱内的警觉性变化为验证指标,基于警觉能理论,建立量化评估驾驶舱内飞行机组警觉性的数学模型,以飞行过程中的轮换安排为例进行舱内机组警觉性的数值模拟仿真,并对比分析“CCAR-121部”规章与“豁免办法”中不同飞行时间限制下的舱内机组警觉性预测仿真结果。结果表明:以文中排班和轮换安排的情况下,以“豁免办法”进行运行时,驾驶舱内飞行机组的警觉性整体上不低于“CCAR-121部”规定,因此,“豁免办法”的实施具有可行性和科学性。In order to verify the feasibility of‘Implementation Measures for Exempting Crew Members from Duty Period and Flight Time Requirements during COVID-19’,and provide scientific basis for it,taking the alertness change of flight crew members in the cockpit as the verification index,and based on the alertness energy theory,a mathematical model was established to quantitatively evaluate the alertness of flight crew in the cockpit during flight.Taking the rotation arrangement during flight as an example,the numerical simulation of crew alertness in the cockpit was carried out,and the simulation results of alertness prediction of flight crew in cockpit under different flight time restrictions of CCAR121 regulation and“exemption method”were compared and analyzed.The results showed that in the case of the schedule arrangement and rotation arrangement,the overall alertness of flight crew in the cockpit under the“exemption method”was not lower than that of CCAR121 regulation,and the implementation of the“exemption method”was feasible and scientific.

关 键 词：豁免办法 警觉能心理疲劳风险模型 驾驶舱 机组警觉性预测 数值模拟仿真 

分 类 号：X949[环境科学与工程—安全科学]