基于灰色关联逼近理想解排序法的航班时刻表评估  

Flight Schedule Evaluation Based on Technique for Order Preference by Similarity to an Ideal Solution-Grey Correlation

作　　者：张天赐 万莉莉[1] 王倩 彭秋萍 ZHANG Tian-ci;WAN Li-li;WANG Qian;PENG Qiu-ping(College of Civil Aviation, Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Nanjing 211106, China)

机构地区：[1]南京航空航天大学民航学院,南京211106

出　　处：《科学技术与工程》2022年第5期2124-2129,共6页Science Technology and Engineering

基　　金：国家自然科学基金民航联合基金(U1933119);南京航空航天大学研究生创新基地(实验室)开放基金(kfjj20200722)。

摘　　要：准确评估航班时刻表,有助于有针对性地制订航班时刻优化策略,对缓解航班时刻的供需矛盾和减少航班延误具有重要意义。针对航班时刻表的评估问题,首先,基于现有评估指标集,引入了滑行时间评估指标;其次,使用分类算法预测并计算了评估指标;再次,提出了一种基于灰色关联逼近理想解排序法的航班时刻表评估方法;最后,以北京首都国际机场为例,与现有评估方法进行了对比分析。结果表明:引入滑行时间评估指标,可以提高灰色关联逼近理想解排序法对航班时刻表的优劣区分能力;灰色关联逼近理想解排序法能避免现有的基于帕累托面的方法在样本较少时不能有效评估航班时刻表的问题,具有更强的普适性。Accurate evaluation of flight schedule is helpful to formulate the optimization strategy of flight schedule,alleviate the contradiction between supply and demand of flight schedule,and reduce flight delay.For the evaluation of flight schedule,firstly,based on the existing evaluation index set,the taxiing time evaluation index was introduced.Secondly,the classification algorithm was used to predict and calculate the evaluation index.Thirdly,an evaluation method of flight schedule based on technique for order preference by similarity to an ideal solution-grey correlation was proposed.Finally,taking Beijing Capital International Airport as an example,a comparative analysis with the existing evaluation method was done.The results show that the introduction of taxiing time evaluation index can improve the ability of grey correlation approximation ideal solution ranking method to distinguish the advantages and disadvantages of flight schedule.The grey correlation approximation ideal solution ranking method can avoid the problem that the existing Pareto surface based methods can not effectively evaluate the flight schedule when there are few samples,and has stronger universality.

关 键 词：航班时刻表评估 TOPSIS-GC 延误预测 滑行时间预测 

分 类 号：V355[航空宇航科学与技术—人机与环境工程]