元宇宙热潮的成因分析及发展趋势  

The Causes and Trends of the Metaverse Boom

作　　者：谭营[1] Tan Ying

机构地区：[1]北京大学智能学院

出　　处：《国家治理》2022年第2期16-20,共5页Governance

摘　　要：2021年被称为“元宇宙元年”,元宇宙热度的持续上升,也带来了与之相关的概念炒作、投资骗局等乱象,值得警惕。元宇宙能否成为未来发展方向,取决于其能否带来生产力的提升和生产方式的变革。基于当前技术,元宇宙的发展可能会经历从泛候乐阶段到数字孪生阶段,再到虚拟爆发阶段的过程。在元宇宙的发展过程中,公司、创作者、普通用户、投资者以及整个社会都将不同程度地参与到元宇宙的建设中。The year 2021 is regarded as“the first year of the metaverse”.However,it is alarming that the continuous rise of the metaverse boom has also brought related chaos,including the hypes on this concept and the investment frauds.The leading trend of metaverse in future development depends upon its capacity to boost productivity and transform the means of production.Given the existing technologies,the development of metaverse may start from the“pan-entertainment”stage before shifting to the“digital twins”stage and followed by a stage of explosive growth of the virtual reality.In this process,enterprises,creators,general users,investors,and all other social members will participate in the development of the metaverse with varying degrees.

关 键 词：元宇宙 虚拟现实 泛娱乐 数字孪生 

分 类 号：F49[经济管理—产业经济]