长江经济带自然资本使用量的空间效应及影响因素  

Spatial effects and influencing factors of natural capital utilization in the Yangtze River Economic Belt,China

作　　者：李竹[1] 王兆峰[1] 吴卫 LI Zhu;WANG Zhao-feng;WU Wei(College of Tourism,Hunan Normal University,Changsha 410081,China)

机构地区：[1]湖南师范大学旅游学院,长沙410081

出　　处：《应用生态学报》2022年第1期180-190,共11页Chinese Journal of Applied Ecology

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(41771162);湖南省国内一流培育学科建设项目(5010002)资助。

摘　　要：厘清区域自然资本的使用情况及其空间效应和影响因素,对实现区域可持续发展具有重要的理论和现实意义。本研究以2008—2018年长江经济带112个地级市为研究区域,利用三维生态足迹模型、探索性空间数据分析、空间马尔科夫链和空间面板杜宾模型,分析区域总体和分地类自然资本流量和存量占用量的空间效应和影响因素。结果表明:研究期间,总体、人均和各地类自然资本流量和存量占用量不断增加。总体和各地类流量占用量低区主要位于东部,高区主要位于中、西部,但其存量占用量呈相反分布;除耕地存量外均具有显著的空间集聚特点。传统和空间马尔科夫链结果表明,自然资本流量和存量占用量存在"马太效应"和"空间溢出效应"。经济增长和产业结构对自然资本流量和存量占用量具有显著的正向影响,人口增长对自然资本流量占用量具有显著的正向影响,城镇化率对自然资本流量和存量占用量分别具有显著的负向和正向影响。政府干预对耕地流量和化石燃料用地存量占用量具有显著的负向影响。环境治理对自然资本流量占用量具有显著的负向影响,但对自然资本存量占用量具有显著的正向影响。环境污染对自然资本流量和存量占用量均具有显著的正向影响。Clarifying the regional natural capital utilization and its spatial effects and influencing factors has important theoretical and practical significance for regional sustainable development.Here,we used a three-dimensional ecological footprint model,exploratory spatial data analysis,a spatial Markov chain,and a spatial panel Durbin model to explore the spatial effects and influencing factors of overall and subcategory natural capital flow and stock occupancy of 112 prefecture-level cities in the Yangtze River Economic Belt from 2008 to 2018.The results showed that the total,per capita,and subcategory natural capital flow and stock occupancy increased during the study period.Most of the regions with low overall and subcategory natural flow occupancy were located in the East,whereas most of the regions with high overall and subcategory natural flow occupancy were mostly located in the Central and Wes-tern area.However,their stock occupancy behaved differently.Except for farmland stock,the overall and subcategory natural capital flow and stock occupancy showed spatial agglomeration.The traditional and spatial Markov chain presented a “Matthew effect” and a “spatial spillover effect” in natural capital flow and stock occupancy.Economic growth and industrial structure positively affected natural capital flow and stock occupancy.Population growth positively affected natural capital flow occupancy.Urbanization rate negatively affected natural capital flow occupancy,and positively impacted natural capital stock occupancy.Government intervention negatively affected the farmland flow and fossil fuels land stock occupancy.Environmental governance negatively affected the natural capital flow occupancy,but positively affected the natural capital stock occupancy.Environmental pollution positively affected natural capital flow and stock occupancy.

关 键 词：三维生态足迹 自然资本使用量 空间马尔科夫链 空间溢出效应 长江经济带 

分 类 号：F205[经济管理—国民经济] F127