中国战略性新兴产业的空间非均衡及时空演进  

Spatial Disequilibrium and Spatio-temporal Evolution of China’s Strategic Emerging Industries

作　　者：黎智慧 尹兴民 Li Zhihui;Yin Xingmin(College of Economics and Management,Southwest University,Chongqing 400715,China;Post-doctoral Research Center,Chongqing Yufu Holding Group Co.,Ltd.,Chongqing 401120,China;School of Economics,Ocean University of China,Qingdao Shandong 266100,China)

机构地区：[1]西南大学经济管理学院,重庆400715 [2]重庆渝富控股集团博士后科研工作站,重庆401120 [3]中国海洋大学经济学院,山东青岛266100

出　　处：《统计与决策》2022年第3期102-107,共6页Statistics & Decision

基　　金：中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助项目(202113007)。

摘　　要：文章基于2012—2019年中国省级战略性新兴产业数据,运用Dagum基尼系数法、标准差椭圆法和马尔可夫链法考察了中国战略性新兴产业的空间集聚及其演变。研究发现:中国战略性新兴产业的基尼系数处于较高水平,区域间差距是导致总体区域差异的主要原因。战略性新兴产业分布存在显著的非均衡特征,主要集中于京津冀、长三角、粤港澳等地区,分布重心由"西→西南→南"移动。未来,中国战略性新兴产业的演化将呈现中、低端弱化与高端强化的发展格局。This paper is based on provincial data of strategic emerging industries from 2012 to 2019, using Dagum Gini coefficient method, standard deviation ellipse method and Markov chain method to investigate the spatial agglomeration and dynamic evolution of China’s strategic emerging industries. The findings of the research go as follows: Gini coefficient of China’s strategic emerging industries is at a high level, and the regional gap is the main cause of the overall regional difference. The distribution of strategic emerging industries is obviously unbalanced, mainly concentrated in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region, the Yangtze River Delta, Guangdong, Hong Kong and Macao, with the distribution center of gravity shifting from west to southwest, and to south. In the future, the evolution of China’s strategic emerging industries will show a trend of weakening the middle and low-end and strengthening the high-end.

关 键 词：战略性新兴产业 空间集聚 Dagum基尼系数法 标准差椭圆法 马尔可夫链法 

分 类 号：F224[经济管理—国民经济]