碳排放交易机制的减排和绿色发展协同效应  

Synergistic Effects of the Emission Reductions and Green Development in Carbon Emissions Trading Scheme

作　　者：陆敏[1] 徐好 LU Min;XU Hao(School of Statistics and Data Science,Nanjing Audit University,Nanjing 211815,China)

机构地区：[1]南京审计大学统计与数据科学学院,江苏南京211815

出　　处：《统计学报》2022年第1期51-62,共12页Journal of Statistics

基　　金：国家社会科学基金一般项目(19BTJ035);江苏省研究生科研与实践创新计划(KYCX21_1880);江苏省社科应用研究精品工程课题(20SYC-137);江苏省高校优势学科建设工程资助项目(PAPD)。

摘　　要：以碳排放交易机制作为准自然实验,基于我国2010—2019年16个省市的面板数据,以DEA模型计算的绿色生产效率表征绿色发展,利用双重差分模型实证检验了碳排放交易机制的减排和绿色发展协同效应,并运用中介效应模型分析了碳排放交易机制政策效应的影响路径。研究发现:碳排放交易机制在降低试点省份碳排放量的同时,促进了试点省份绿色生产效率的提高;碳排放交易机制通过能源消耗结构调整和产业结构高级化,实现了减排和绿色发展协同目标。Based on the panel data of 16 provinces and cities in China from 2010 to 2019,this paper took carbon emissions trading mechanism as a quasi-natural experiment,and used DEA model to calculate green production efficiency and characterize green development.Then the paper used DID model to empirically test the synergistic effects of emission reductions and green development in carbon emissions trading scheme,and analyzed the influence paths through introducing intermediary effect model.It was found that carbon emissions trading scheme has both reduced carbon emissions and promoted the increase of green production efficiency in pilot provinces.Meanwhile,the influence paths of this synergistic effects included the adjustment of energy consumption structure and the upgrading of industrial structure.

关 键 词：碳排放交易机制 减排效应 绿色生产效率 双重差分模型 中介效应模型 

分 类 号：F062[经济管理—政治经济学]