多手段形变监测与地震预报  

Multi-Means Deformation Monitoring and Earthquake Prediction

作　　者：张立成[1] 薄万举[1] ZHANG Licheng;BO Wanju(The First Monitoring and Application Center,CEA,7 Naihuo Road,Tianjin 300180,China)

机构地区：[1]中国地震局第一监测中心,天津市300180

出　　处：《大地测量与地球动力学》2022年第3期234-239,共6页Journal of Geodesy and Geodynamics

基　　金：中国地震局老科协基金(510216502);国家重点研发计划(2018YFC1503606);国家科技部科技基础性工作专项(2015FY210400)。

摘　　要：系统回顾多手段地形变监测应用于地震中长期预测和中短期预报的若干实例,以及震后总结给出的突出形变异常和巨幅形变异常未能对应地震的实例,展示了形变手段用于强震预测的有效性和局限性,并针对实践中发现的若干问题进行讨论,提出看法和建议。We review some examples of the application of multi-means of crust deformation monitoring to medium and long term earthquake prediction and short and medium term earthquake prediction,and summarize some examples of outburst deformation anomalies and large deformation anomalies not corresponding to the earthquake.We demonstrate the validity and limitation of crust deformation method for strong earthquake prediction;we then express views and suggestions based on the discussion about some problems found in practice.

关 键 词：断层形变 水准 基线 GPS 地震预报 

分 类 号：P315[天文地球—地震学]