基于空间杜宾模型的中国资本密集型产业碳排放影响研究  

Research on Carbon Emission Impact of China’s Capital Intensive Industries Based on Spatial Dobbin Model

作　　者：冉紫衣 RAN Ziyi(Harbin Normal University,Harbin Heilongjiang 150025)

机构地区：[1]哈尔滨师范大学,黑龙江哈尔滨150025

出　　处：《河南科技》2021年第28期131-134,共4页Henan Science and Technology

摘　　要：基于2003—2018年的资本密集型产业碳排放数据,利用空间自相关方法分析全国30个省级行政区资本密集型产业碳排放的空间演化特征,并利用空间杜宾模型对中国资本密集型产业碳排放与主要影响因素的关系进行实证研究。结果表明:中国2003—2018年资本密集型产业碳排放平均每年增加249.9μg/m^(3);资本密集型产业碳排放在2003年的莫兰指数为0.186,2018年为0.014,在空间呈现出"东重西轻""南矮北高"的空间分布特征;经济增长与碳排放之间不存在显著的倒U形关系,表现出负向单调关系,技术水平与碳排放之间表现出显著的负向关系。Based on the carbon emission data of capital-intensive industries from 2003 to 2018, to use spatial autocorrelation method to analyze the spatial evolution characteristics of the carbon emissions of capitalintensive industries in 30 provinces across the country, and finally uses the spatial Dubin model to analyze China’s capital-intensive industries. Conduct empirical research on the relationship between carbon emissions and main influencing factors.The results show that: China’s carbon emissions from capital-intensive industries increased by 249.9 μg/m^(3) per year on average from 2003 to 2018;The carbon emission of capital-intensive industries was 0.026 in 2003 and-0.044 in 2018, showing the spatial distribution characteristics of “heavy in the east and light in the west” and “short in the south and high in the north” in the space;There is no significant inverted U-skape relationship between economic growth and carbon emissions, showing a negative monotonic relationship, and a significant negative relationship between technological level and carbon emissions.

关 键 词：资本密集型产业碳排放 空间杜宾模型 空间演化特征 

分 类 号：F205[经济管理—国民经济]