技术进步、工业化程度对能耗强度影响的差异分析——基于省际面板数据的实证研究  

Differential Analysis of Impact of Technological Progress and Degree of Industrialization on Energy Consumption Intensity

作　　者：崔明懿 陈瑞[2] 赵留彦[1] Cui Mingyi;Chen Rui;Zhao Liuyan

机构地区：[1]北京大学经济学院,北京100871 [2]中国信达资产管理股份有限公司,北京100031

出　　处：《企业经济》2022年第2期80-87,共8页Enterprise Economy

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目“金融发展与技术创新的非线性传导机制及其政策研究”(项目编号:19CJY005)。

摘　　要：碳达峰、碳中和的深层次问题是能源问题。本文分析了技术进步、工业化程度影响能耗强度的作用机制,并基于2010-2020年我国30个省区市(未包括西藏及港澳台)的面板数据进行实证研究,结果表明:技术进步与能耗强度显著负相关,技术进步通过改善要素生产率有效减少能耗;工业化程度对能耗强度存在显著的正向作用关系,工业体系中高耗能行业占比较高,高耗能产品份额的持续增加影响了能耗强度的降低;不同地区技术进步、工业化程度对能耗强度的影响存在差异性,这可能是与地区禀赋有关;且回归结果经GMM分析检验后是稳健的。据此,应加大节能技术研发并制定耗能标准,优化产业和能源结构,而不同地区应制定差异化能源政策并加强协作。The deep problems of carbon peak and carbon neutralization is energy. This paper analyzes the action mechanism of technological progress and industrialization degree affecting energy consumption intensity, and conducts empirical research based on the panel data from 30 provinces and municipalities(excluding Tibet, Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan) from 2010-2020. The results show that the technological progress is significantly negatively related to the intensity of energy consumption, and technological progress effectively reduces energy consumption by improving factor productivity;industrialization degree has a significant positive effect on the intensity of energy consumption, and high energy-consuming industries account for a relatively high proportion in the industrial system and the continuous increase in the share of high-energy-consuming products affects the reduction of energy consumption intensity;the influence of technological progress and industrialization degree on energy intensity varies in different regions, which may be related to regional resource endowment;the regression results are robust after tested by GMM analysis. Therefore, it is suggested to increase the research and development of energy-saving technologies and formulate energy consumption standards, optimize the industrial and energy structure, and develop differentiated energy policies and strengthen cooperation among different regions.

关 键 词：技术进步 工业化程度 能耗强度 

分 类 号：F062.4[经济管理—政治经济学]