我国制造业数字化转型与高质量发展耦合协调性研究  

A Study of Coupling Coordination between Digital Transformation and High quality Development of China's Manufacturing Industry

作　　者：段秀芳[1] 徐传昂 DUAN Xiufang;XU Chuanang(Xinjiang University of Finance and Economics,Urumqi 830012,China)

机构地区：[1]新疆财经大学国际经贸学院,新疆乌鲁木齐830012

出　　处：《新疆财经》2022年第1期5-17,共13页Finance & Economics of Xinjiang

基　　金：新疆高校科研计划重点项目“新疆沿边开放30年政策演变与经贸实践研究”(XJEDU2021SI015)。

摘　　要：文章运用PVAR、耦合协调和莫兰指数模型对我国2015年—2019年制造业数字化转型与高质量发展的动态耦合协调性进行了实证研究。结果表明:我国整体两系统发展水平呈波动式上升态势,但东中西部地区差异性较明显;在互动关系上,制造业数字化转型对高质量发展的促进作用更显著;我国整体两系统耦合协调度呈稳步上升态势,且从东部到西部梯度递减;在耦合协调空间关联关系上,东部地区呈“高—高”聚集特征,西部地区呈“低—低”聚集特征,中部地区则不显著。今后应进一步发挥东部地区对中西部地区的带动作用,因地制宜提高两系统的耦合协调度。This paper uses PVAR,coupling coordination and Moran index model to conduct an empirical study on the dynamic coupling coordination between digital transformation and high-quality development of manufacturing industry in China during 2015-2019.The results show that the overall development level of the two systems in China shows a fluctuating upward trend,however,the differences among the eastern,central and western regions are obvious.In terms of interaction,digital transforma‐tion of manufacturing industry plays a more significant role in promoting high-quality development.The overall coupling coor‐dination degree of the two systems in China shows a steady increase trend,decreasing gradually from the east to the west.In the coupling coordination of spatial correlation relations,the eastern region is characterized by"high-high"aggregation,the central region is not significant,and the western region is characterized by"low-low"aggregation.Therefore,it is of necessity to give further play to the driving role of the eastern region to the central and western regions,and improve the coupling coordination degree of the two systems according to local conditions.

关 键 词：制造业数字化转型 制造业高质量发展 耦合协调度 数字中国 数字经济 

分 类 号：F424.1[经济管理—产业经济]