数字经济对居民消费的影响研究——基于空间杜宾模型的实证分析  

The Impact of Digital Economy on Household Consumption------Empirical Analysis Based on the Spatial Durbin Model

作　　者：钟若愚[1] 曾洁华 Zhong Ruoyu;Zeng Jiehua

机构地区：[1]深圳大学中国经济特区研究中心,广东深圳518061

出　　处：《经济问题探索》2022年第3期31-43,共13页Inquiry Into Economic Issues

基　　金：全国统计科学研究项目“面向特大城市风险管理的时点多源大数据统计分析与协同治理机制研究”(2021LZ37),项目负责人:钟若愚;广东省科技厅软科学一般项目“促进粤港澳科技服务协同创新的机制和对策研究--基于创新链、产业链和服务链‘三链’融合的视角”(2019A101002092),项目负责人:钟若愚。

摘　　要：近些年以数字技术为核心的新经济业态飞速发展为我国经济高质量增长注入新活力,影响着经济社会发展的方方面面,特别是居民消费生活。本文基于2018年和2019年两年的地级市面板数据,建立空间杜宾模型和中介效应模型深入探讨了数字经济发展对居民消费水平的空间效应和作用机制。研究发现:地级市居民消费呈现显著的空间正相关性,高—高集聚特征主要集中在东部沿海城市,特别是珠三角和长三角地区。城市数字经济的发展能促进当地和临近城市居民消费潜力的释放,具有显著的直接效应和空间溢出效应。其中,数字经济在产业和公共服务体系的深度融合和应用是提高居民消费的关键。通过中介模型疏导发现,数字经济可以通过改善居民收入水平、加强产业创新能力拓展居民消费的可能性。The rapid development of new economic formats centered on digital technology has recently injected new vitality into high-quality economic growth in China,which has affected all aspects of economic and social development,especially the household consumption.Based on city-level panel data from 2018 to 2019,this paper establishes a spatial durbin model and an intermediary effect model to deeply explore the spatial effect and mechanism between the development of the digital economy and the household consumption.The study found:the consumption based on city-level presents a significant spatial positive correlation,and the characteristics of high-high agglomeration are mainly distributed in the eastern coastal cities,especially the Pearl River Delta and the Yangtze River Delta.The development of digital economy can promote the release of consumption potential of residents from local and neighboring,showing significant direct effects and spatial spillover effects.Among them,it is the key to increase consumption that the in-depth integration and application of the digital economy in the industry and public service system.Through the mediation model,it is found that the digital economy can expand the possibility of household consumption by improving the income level of residents and strengthening the ability of industrial innovation.

关 键 词：数字经济 居民消费 空间杜宾模型 

分 类 号：F063.2[经济管理—政治经济学] F126.1