木本观赏植物花期预报研究进展  

Research Progress on Flowering Time Prediction of Woody Ornamental Plants

作　　者：俞雯乐 刘晓 陈志先 谢晓宇 王红 邵京 YU Wenle;LIU Xiao;CHEN Zhixian;XIE Xiaoyu;WANG Hong;SHAO Jing(College of Forestry,Nanjing Forestry University,Nanjing 210037,China;Nanjing Academy of Landscape Architecture and Forestry,Nanjing 210042,China)

机构地区：[1]南京林业大学林学院,江苏南京210037 [2]南京市园林和林业科学研究院,江苏南京210042

出　　处：《安徽农学通报》2022年第5期100-105,共6页Anhui Agricultural Science Bulletin

摘　　要：准确开展各类植物花期预报服务,对于推动当地经济社会发展、有效提升公众的获得感和幸福感具有重要意义。花期具有可预报性,但受气候和生物等因子的综合影响,花期预报的准确性仍然存在很多困难。该文以木本观赏植物为例,梳理了木本观赏植物花期预报理论与方法、木本观赏植物花期与环境影响因子的关系以及花期预报模型构建等方面的研究进展。木本观赏植物花期预报在不同地区不同花期预报模型的预报精度存在较大差异。总的来说,合理的花期预报影响因子筛选和有效的花期预报模型是木本观赏植物花期预报的重要发展方向。因此,今后的研究要重视花期变化与环境因子作用机理以及构建普适性的花期预报模型,不断提高木本观赏植物花期预报精度。It is of great significance to promote local economic and social development and effectively improve the public's sense of gain and happiness to carry out various kinds of flower forecasting services accurately.However,due to the comprehensive influence of meteorological,geographical,plant conditions and biological factors,it is still difficult to predict the accuracy of flowering forecast.In this paper,the theory and method of flowering prediction of woody ornamental plants,the relationship between flowering date of woody ornamental plants and environmental impact factors,and the construction of flowering forecast model were discussed.The results showed that the prediction of flowering time of woody ornamental plants was affected by many factors,such as meteorological factors,the soil and water environment of plant growth,and the growth condition of plants,and the prediction accuracy of different models of flowering time in different regions was quite different.In general,reasonable selection of influencing factors for flowering prediction and effective flowering prediction models are important development directions for flowering prediction of woody ornamental plants.Therefore,future research should pay attention to the mechanism of flowering change and environmental factors,and build a universal flowering forecast model,so as to continuously improve the flowering forecast accuracy of woody ornamental plants.

关 键 词：花期预报 研究进展 木本观赏植物 预报方法 预报因子 

分 类 号：S688[农业科学—观赏园艺]