物流大通道背景下云南省物流业与经济发展的互动关系研究  

Research on the Interactive Relationship between Logistics Industry and Economic Development in Yunnan Province under the Background of Logistics Channel

作　　者：黄洁[1] 花培鹏 HUANG Jie;HUA Peipeng(School of Management and Economics,Kunming University of Science and Technology,Kunming 650093,China)

机构地区：[1]昆明理工大学管理与经济学院,昆明650093

出　　处：《科技和产业》2022年第3期325-331,共7页Science Technology and Industry

基　　金：云南省教育厅面上项目(KKJA201508022)。

摘　　要：云南省依托物流大通道建设促进物流业发展对云南地区综合发展具有重要意义。基于2003—2019年云南省物流业和经济发展的年度时间序列数据,构建评价指标体系,通过构建向量自回归(VAR)模型实证研究云南省物流业和经济发展的互动关系。研究表明,云南省区域内物流业对经济发展具有一定的促进作用,但经济发展对物流业的推动作用不足。云南省要不断优化通道运输结构,推动信息技术赋能,发展物流新模式,以民生需求刺激物流需求。It is of great significance for the comprehensive development of Yunnan Province to promote the development of logistics industry relying on the construction of logistics channel.Based on the annual time series data of logistics industry and economic development in Yunnan Province from 2003 to 2019,an evaluation index system was established and the interactive relationship between logistics industry and economic development in Yunnan Province was empirically studied by constructing vector autoregression(VAR)model.The results show that the logistics industry in Yunnan province plays a certain role in promoting economic development,but the economic development is not enough.Yunnan Province should constantly optimize channel transportation structure,promote information technology empowerment,develop new logistics mode,and stimulate logistics demand with the demand of people's livelihood.

关 键 词：物流大通道 云南省物流业 经济发展 CRITIC赋权法 VAR模型 

分 类 号：F542[经济管理—产业经济]