超大城市高学历外来人口生活预期的影响因素--基于北京的实证分析  

Influencing Factors of Life Expectation of Highly Educated Migrant Population in Mega Cities

作　　者：肖玉然 刘雯 胡磊[1] Xiao Yuran;Liu Wen;Hu Lei(Capital University of Economics and Business,Beijing100070,China)

机构地区：[1]首都经济贸易大学管理工程学院

出　　处：《上海城市管理》2022年第2期48-55,共8页Shanghai Urban Management

基　　金：北京市社会科学基金青年项目“北京市积分落户新政对高学历外来人口生活预期的影响机制研究”(18GLC055)的阶段性研究成果。

摘　　要：高学历外来人口是超大城市建设和发展的重要人力资源。生活预期是预测超大城市高学历人才再迁移行为的一个关键指标。基于北京市的调查数据,运用定序l ogit模型分析超大城市高学历外来人口生活预期的影响因素。研究发现,个人收入和在本地居住时间对生活预期都有正向的显著影响。在本地有自购房、参加本地医疗保险的高学历外来人口比相对应群体的生活预期层次要高。持有居住证、已申报积分落户的个体的生活预期层次更高。而且,已婚、女性高学历外来人口有更高层次的生活预期。最后,针对超大城市人才服务保障和公共服务提出一些建议。highly educated migrant population is an important human resource for the construction and development of mega cities.Life expectation is a key index to predict the relocation behavior of highly educated talents in mega cities.Based on the survey data of Beijing,this paper analyzes the influencing factors of life expectation of highly educated migrant population in mega cities by using sequential logit model.The study has found that personal income and local residence time have a positive and significant impact on life expectancy.The highly educated migrant population with self-purchased housing and local medical insurance has a higher level of life expectation than the otherwise.Individuals who hold a residence permit and have declared points to settle down have a higher level of life expectation.Moreover,married,highly educated migrant females have higher level of life expectations.Finally,it puts forward some suggestions for talent service guarantee and public service in mega cities.

关 键 词：超大城市 高学历外来人口 生活预期 定序logit模型 

分 类 号：C913.3[经济管理]