新疆伊犁州直属县市人口与经济空间协调关系研究  

Coordination of Spatial Relationship Between Population and Economy in Yili Prefecture in Xinjiang

作　　者：彭嘉晖 曹月娥[1,2] PENG Jiahui;CAO Yuee(College of Resources and Environmental Sciences,Xinjiang University/Key Laboratory of Oasis Ecology,Ministry of Education,Urumqi 830046,China;Environmental and Geographical Sciences of Shanghai Normal University,Shanghai 200234,China)

机构地区：[1]新疆大学资源与环境科学学院/绿洲生态教育部重点实验室,乌鲁木齐830046 [2]上海师范大学环境与地理科学学院,上海200234

出　　处：《西南大学学报（自然科学版）》2022年第3期183-193,共11页Journal of Southwest University(Natural Science Edition)

基　　金：国家自然科学基金青年科学基金资助项目(41601572)。

摘　　要：新疆伊犁州地区经济水平稳步增长和人口增速缓慢的现状,逐渐凸显出区域发展不平衡、人口与经济发展不协调的问题.但单从人口与经济情况来看,不足以反映区域内部发展的真实状态,故将区域的产业结构与就业结构考虑进来,基于2000-2016年伊犁州直属县市各个地区的经济发展与人口规模数据,通过计算产业与就业结构之间的协调系数、人口与经济的不均衡指数、人口—经济增长弹性系数、地理集中度以及运用ArcGIS计算几何重心等,进一步了解伊犁州地区人口与经济发展协调关系.结果表明:(1)从产业结构与就业结构来看,伊犁州直属县市的产业结构不断优化升级,同时促使就业结构发生相应转变;产业结构与就业结构的协调度“先降后升”,但距离高协调度仍有一定差距.(2)伊犁州直属县市的人口与经济空间分布情况由逐渐协调转变为不太协调的状态.(3)在空间分布上由地理集中度可知,伊犁州直属县市人口与经济空间分布总体呈现西北部以及奎屯市高,西南部、东北部以及中部低的分布特征,其中伊宁市、奎屯市的经济集聚程度高于人口集聚程度,其他地区的人口地理集中度高于经济地理集中度.(4)由重心分析可得,伊犁州直属县市的人口重心和经济重心向西偏移,且人口重心移动距离大于经济重心移动距离.The current situation of steady economic growth and slow population growth in Yili have gradually highlighted the issue of regional unbalanced development,mainly due to the uncoordinated development between population and economy.However,this is not enough to reflect the true state of internal regional development.This research takes the consideration of industrial and employment structure,based on Yili’s population and GDP data,analyzes the coordination relationship between population and economic development in 2000-2016 by calculating the coordination coefficient,disequilibrium index of population and economy,population-economic growth elasticity,the index of geographic concentration and the methods of gravity center,computational geometric center.The results show that the optimization and upgrade of industrial structure changed the employment structure,both of them tend to coordinate each other.From 2000 to 2016,on the basis of the result of coordination coefficient,the spatial distribution between population and economy has become less coordinated.It can be seen from the index of geographic concentration,population agglomeration and economic agglomeration relatively concentrated in the center of the Yili’s Prefecture.Another key fact to remind,the degree of economic agglomeration is higher than the population agglomeration in the cities.The condition of the other counties is in contrary.By means of the methods of gravity center for population and economy,we can conclude that both centers are moving toward west in the whole region.Furthermore,the moving distance of population center is farther than the moving distance of economic center.However,more attention should be paid in the future to the coordinating relation of spatial distribution between the population growth and economic development.

关 键 词：人口增长 经济发展 空间关系 重心分析 

分 类 号：F129.9[经济管理—世界经济] K901[历史地理—人文地理学]