基于灰色关联分析法的电气火灾事故统计分析  

Statistical Analysis of Electric Fire Accidents Based on Grey Correlation Analysis

作　　者：王帅 WANG Shuai(Xianyang Fire and Rescue Division,Xianyang,Shaanxi Province 712000,China)

机构地区：[1]咸阳市消防救援支队,陕西咸阳712000

出　　处：《中国人民警察大学学报》2022年第2期49-52,共4页Journal of China People's Police University

摘　　要：为探究电气火灾发生的原因和发生时间对火灾直接损失的影响,选取2015—2018年《中国消防年鉴》中引发电气火灾的原因及发生时间的相关资料,运用灰色关联分析法,计算起火原因、起火时间与火灾直接损失的关联度,并讨论它们之间的相关性。结果表明:电气火灾原因中的其他原因与直接损失的关联度最大,更容易造成较大损失;火灾发生时间中,18时到20时这个时间段与直接损失的关联度最大,造成直接损失的概率最大。In order to explore the causes of electric fire and time effect on direct fire loss,this article selects the relevant information of the Chinese Fire Yearbook 2015—2018 on the causes of electric fire and occurrence time,with the use of the grey correlation analysis method,calculates and discusses the correlation of fire causes and the occurrence time with direct fire loss.The results show that other causes of electrical fire have the greatest correlation with direct loss and are more likely to cause large loss.As the time of fire occurrence,the correlation between 18—20 hour and direct loss is the greatest,and the probability of causing direct loss is the greatest.

关 键 词：灰色关联 电气火灾 起火原因 起火时间 火灾损失 

分 类 号：TU998.1[建筑科学—市政工程]