创新人才集聚、“内循环”结构升级与工业经济质量--基于PSM-DID模型的实证研究  

Innovation Talent Gathering,“Internal Circulation”Structure Upgrading and Industrial Economic Quality--Empirical Research Based on PSM-DID Model

作　　者：张先琪 李虹[2] Zhang Xianqi;Li Hong(School of Business Administration,Northeastern University,Shenyang 110167,China;School of Economics,Peking University,Beijing 100871,China)

机构地区：[1]东北大学工商管理学院,沈阳110167 [2]北京大学经济学院,北京100871

出　　处：《工业技术经济》2022年第4期3-10,共8页Journal of Industrial Technological Economics

基　　金：国家社会科学基金重大项目“国际能源新形势对中国发展与战略环境影响研究”(项目编号:15ZDA059);国家自然科学基金面上项目“基于全球产业链的战略性新兴产业资源保障与风险预警研究”(项目编号:72073007)。

摘　　要：本文使用2005~2019年中国地级及以上城市的面板数据,基于国家创新型城市试点政策实施建立PSM-DID模型,分析了创新人才集聚对工业经济发展质量的影响和政策机制,主要有两点边际贡献:(1)引入创新人才集聚连续型变量,缓解了经典非连续型DID模型低估政策效果的问题,从而提供了新的稳健估计量;(2)研究视角着眼于中国在“大变局”下实施“内循环”战略,将“内循环”分为投资和消费,研究了投资和消费的规模、结构调整能否促进创新集聚提升工业经济高质量的政策效果。经过检验分析,本文提出:促进工业经济领域形成有序竞争的良好格局;优化科技人才区域集聚,为科技创新的“新型举国体制”提供人才条件;强化现代服务业和生产性服务业对科技创新的支持作用,促进形成良好的市场创新环境。Based on the panel data of Chinese cities at prefecture level and above from 2005 to 2019,establishes PSM-DID model based on the implementation of national innovative city pilot,this paper analyzes the impact of innovative talent agglomeration on the quality of industrial economic development and the policy mechanism.There are two main marginal contributions:first,the introduction of continuous variables of innovative talent agglomeration alleviates the problem that the classical discontinuous DID model underestimates the policy effect.Thus,provides a new robust estimator.Second,the research perspective focuses on China's implementation of“internal circulation”strategy under the“great change”,divides“internal circulation”into investment and consumption,and studies whether the scale of investment and consumption and structural adjustment can promote innovation ag⁃glomeration and improve the policy effect on industrial economic development quality.After testing and analysis,this paper puts forward:to promote the formation of a good pattern of orderly competition in the field of industrial economy.Optimize the regional gathering of scientific and technological talents,and provide talent conditions for the“New National System”of scientific and tech⁃nological innovations.Strengthen the supporting role of modern service industry and producer service industry in scientific and tech⁃nological innovation,and promote the formation of a good market innovation environment.

关 键 词：创新人才集聚 “内循环” 工业经济发展质量 PSM-DID 模型 投资和消费 市场创新环境 

分 类 号：F42[经济管理—产业经济] F202