有序用电对中国低碳能源发展影响的经济学分析  

Economic Analysis of the Impact of Orderly Electricity Consumption on Low-carbon Energy Development in China

作　　者：牟敦果[1] 张舒颖 高亚娟 Mu Dunguo;Zhang Shuying;Gao Yajuan(Xiamen University,Xiamen 361000,Fujian,China)

机构地区：[1]厦门大学经济学院,福建厦门361000

出　　处：《贵州省党校学报》2022年第2期62-69,共8页Journal of Guizhou Provincial Party School

基　　金：国家社科基金项目“我国能源转型与发展战略问题研究”(项目批准号:18BJY069)阶段性研究成果。

摘　　要：2021年上半年中国电力供需总体平衡,但经济平稳增长、能源消耗增加以及能源价格大幅上涨预示着2021年下半年电力供应趋紧。从电力需求端和供给端两方面分析2021年下半年中国电力紧张的原因,探讨了实行有序用电和电力调控政策的重要意义。电力调控一定程度上限制了高耗能企业的生产和高耗能固定资产投资,推动产业结构调整,从而促使中国经济低碳运行并促进可再生能源发展,有利于中国尽快实现“碳达峰”“碳中和”目标。In the first half of 2021,China's power supply and demand is generally balanced,but the steady economic growth,the increase of energy consumption and the sharp rise of energy prices indicate the tightening of power supply in the second half of 2021.This paper analyzes the causes of China's power shortage in the second half of 2021 from power demand and supply,and discusses the significance of implementing orderly power consumption and power regulation policies.To some extent,power regulation restricts the production of high energy consuming enterprises and investment in high energy consuming fixed assets,and promotes the adjustment of industrial structure,so as to promote the low-carbon operation of China's economy and the development of renewable energy,which is conducive to China's realization of the goals of“carbon peak”and“carbon neutralization”as soon as possible.

关 键 词：有序用电 能耗双控 “双碳”目标 低碳发展 

分 类 号：F426[经济管理—产业经济]