中欧服务贸易与我国制造业服务化:基于行业面板数据的实证研究  

China-EU Service Trade and the Servitization of China’s Manufacturing Industry:An Empirical Study Based on Industrial Panel Data

作　　者：樊文静[1] 潘娴 肖文[2,3] Fan Wenjing;Pan Xian;Xiao Wen(School of Economics,Hangzhou Normal University,Hangzhou 311121,China;School of Economics,Zhejiang University,Hangzhou 310058,China;Ningbo Tech University,Ningbo 315100,China)

机构地区：[1]杭州师范大学经济学院,浙江杭州311121 [2]浙江大学经济学院,浙江杭州310058 [3]浙大宁波理工学院,浙江杭州315100

出　　处：《浙江大学学报（人文社会科学版）》2022年第2期73-86,共14页Journal of Zhejiang University:Humanities and Social Sciences

基　　金：国家社科基金项目(19BJY178);浙江省哲学社会科学规划课题(22NDJC137YB)。

摘　　要：制造业服务化对中国产业结构转型升级和构建双循环经济新格局意义重大,而中欧服务贸易则会在中美贸易摩擦背景下对中国制造业服务化起到至关重要的作用。理论上,中欧服务贸易能够通过直接效应、竞争效应和技术溢出效应推动我国制造业投入服务化,并通过资源转移效应、技术溢出效应和H-O效应促进我国制造业产出服务化。实证结果表明,整体而言,中欧服务贸易能够显著推动中国制造业投入服务化与产出服务化。分行业而言,中欧服务贸易对不同要素密集度制造行业的影响存在差异,中欧服务贸易能够推动劳动密集型和技术密集型制造业的投入服务化,却对资本密集型制造业的投入服务化无显著正向影响;中欧服务贸易提升了劳动密集型制造业的产出服务化,却对技术密集型制造业的产出服务化无明显正向影响,并显著抑制了资本密集型制造业的产出服务化。基于行业异质性,进一步探究行业特征下中欧服务贸易对制造业服务化影响的非线性特征,发现存在研发投入门槛效应与国有化水平门槛效应。In recent years,the servitization of the manufacturing industry has become a significant trend in industrial evolution.Increasing service inputs in the process of manufacturing products is transforming the industrial structure and becoming a new engine of global economic growth.At present,the quality of services offered by China’s manufacturing industry is insufficient and thus servitization remains at a low level.Improving the servitization level of the manufacturing industry is essential to promoting the status of China’s manufacturing industry in the global value chain and in establishing a“dual circulation” development pattern.In this article,we examine theoretically and empirically whether the China-EU service trade can promote the servitization of China’s manufacturing industry.We focus on the impact of heterogeneity in the manufacturing industry and use a threshold effect model to explore the internal mechanism of the impact of heterogeneity.Theoretically,the China-EU service trade can promote the input servitization of China’s manufacturing industry through direct effect,competition effect,and technology spillover effect.It accelerates the output servitization via resource transfer effect,technology spillover effect,and Heckscher-Ohlin(H-O) effect.The empirical results reveal the following three conclusions.(1) On the whole,the China-EU service trade can significantly promote the input and output servitization of China’s manufacturing industry.(2) The impact of the China-EU service trade varies for different factor-intensive manufacturing industries.Although the China-EU service trade can promote the input servitization of labor-and technology-intensive manufacturing,it has no significant impact in the case of capital-intensive manufacturing.Moreover,the China–EU service trade has promoted the output servitization of labor-intensive manufacturing but has no significant impact on the output servitization of technology-intensive manufacturing,and it has even hindered that of capital-intensiv

关 键 词：中欧服务贸易 制造业服务化 投入服务化 产出服务化 行业异质性 

分 类 号：F424[经济管理—产业经济] F752.68F755