“碳中和”背景下的中国成品油消费现状及未来发展分析  

Analysis on the Current Situation and Development Trend of China’s Ref ined Oil Consumption under the Background of“Carbon Neutralization”

作　　者：程晓龙 刘垂祥 况新亮 罗玉婷 杨志威 CHENG Xiao-long;LIU Chui-xiang;KUANG Xin-liang;LUO Yu-ting;YANG Zhi-wei(Jiangxi Provincial Investment Group Energy Supply Chain Co.,Ltd.,Nanchang 330103,China)

机构地区：[1]江西省江投能源供应链有限公司,江西南昌330103

出　　处：《化工管理》2022年第10期11-13,共3页Chemical Engineering Management

摘　　要：“碳中和”背景下,车用能源结构面临调整,这给成品油行业未来的业务发展带来巨大的冲击。文章结合相关政策和数据,简述了成品油的消费现状,论述了“碳中和”给成品油行业带来的挑战,及对未来的成品油消费和行业发展做了分析。数据显示,当前成品油消费已恢复至疫情前水平,预计到2025年仍有一定增长,2030年后伴随着“碳中和”的进程而逐年降低。预计未来成品油行业将由单一的能源业务向综合能源供应转型。Automotive energy structural is facing adjustment under the background of carbon neutrality,which will have a huge impact on the future development of the ref ined oil industry.Combining relevant policies and data,this paper introduced the present status of ref ined oil consumption,discussed the challenges brought by“carbon neutrality”to the ref ined oil industry,and analyzed the future ref ined oil consumption and industry development.Data shows that the consumption of ref ined oil products has recovered to the pre-COVID-19 level,and is expected to increase to some extent by 2025,and decrease year by year after 2030 with the process of“carbon neutrality”.It is expected that the ref ined oil industry will transform from a single energy business to a comprehensive energy supply in the future.

关 键 词：成品油 碳中和 发展 

分 类 号：TE-9[石油与天然气工程]