基于动态空间面板模型的中国港口竞争与合作关系研究  

The competition and cooperation relationship of Chinese ports based on dynamic spatial panel model

作　　者：王伟 纪翌佳 金凤君[2,3] WANG Wei;JI Yijia;JIN Fengjun(School of Tourism and Geography Science,Qingdao University,Qingdao 266071,Shandong,China;Key Laboratory of Regional Sustainable Development Modeling,Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research,CAS,Beijing 100101,China;College of Resources and Environment,University of Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100049,China)

机构地区：[1]青岛大学旅游与地理科学学院,青岛266071 [2]中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所中国科学院区域可持续发展分析与模拟重点实验室,北京100101 [3]中国科学院大学资源与环境学院,北京100049

出　　处：《地理研究》2022年第3期616-632,共17页Geographical Research

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(42001119);教育部人文社科研究项目(17YJC790064)。

摘　　要：港口之间的竞争与合作关系是港口资源整合所要理顺和优化的关键问题,关系着港口体系的健康可持续发展。本文采用动态空间面板模型,研究了2000年以来中国港口整体及沿海和内河各区域港口群的竞争与合作关系,并探讨其影响因素。研究表明:中国港口货物吞吐量和集装箱吞吐量存在空间正相关性,且呈现逐渐增强的趋势;从货物吞吐量看,全国范围内的港口和内河港口之间不存在显著的竞争效应,沿海港口之间竞争态势显著,而三者在集装箱运输方面均为竞争关系;五大沿海港口群在货物吞吐量方面的竞争激烈程度排序为环渤海港口群>珠江三角洲港口群>长江三角洲港口群>西南沿海港口群>东南沿海港口群,内河港口群中,仅珠江水系港口群呈竞争态势;珠江三角洲港口群、东南沿海港口群、长江三角洲港口群、长江水系和珠江水系港口在集装箱运输中竞争激烈;港口供求关系、港口规模结构、港口职能结构、港口规划与管理等是影响竞争与合作关系及竞争激烈程度的重要因素。本研究有助于丰富港口地理学的理论研究,并为港口资源整合提供思路和方向。The competition and cooperation relationship between ports is a key issue to be solved and optimized for port resource integration, which is related to the healthy and sustainable development of the port system. In this paper, we use the dynamic spatial panel model to study the competition and cooperation relationship of Chinese ports as a whole and the coastal and inland port groups since 2000. On this basis, we also explore the influencing factors of port relationships. We found that there is a positive spatial correlation in the cargo throughput and container throughput of Chinese ports, with a gradual increasing trend. From the perspective of port cargo throughput, there is no significant competition between ports in the whole country and the inland ports. Only the competition between coastal ports is significant, while, they are all in fierce competition in terms of container transportation. The competition of cargo throughput among the five coastal port groups is fierce and the order of intensity is ports around the Bohai Bay, port group in the Yangtze River Delta, port group in the Pearl River Delta, ports on the southwest coast of China, and ports on the southeast coast of China. The three sub-port groups in the ports around the Bohai Bay are all in fierce competition, and the negative spillover effect of Tianjin-Hebei port group is particularly prominent. One port will decrease by 0.946% when the throughput of the other ports in Tianjin-Hebei port group increases by 1%. Among the inland port groups, only the ports in the Pearl River system are in a competitive situation. The competition of container throughput are all fierce among port groups in the Pearl River Delta, ports on the southeast coast of China, port group in the Yangtze River Delta, and the Yangtze and Pearl River system. There are some factors that affect the relationship of competition and cooperation and the intensity of competition, such as port supply and demand, port scale structure, port function structure, port planning and management

关 键 词：中国港口 区域港口群 沿海和内河 竞争与合作 动态空间面板计量模型 

分 类 号：F552[经济管理—产业经济]