Higher Education Expansion in China,1999-2003:Impact on Graduate Employability  

作　　者：Dongshu Ou Zhong Zhao 

机构地区：[1]Department of Educational Administration and Policy,The Chinese University of Hong Kong,China [2]School of Labor and Human Resources,Renmin University of China,China,and Institute of Labor Economics(IZA),Bonn,Germany.

出　　处：《China & World Economy》2022年第2期117-141,共25页中国与世界经济（英文版）

基　　金：support from the Chinese University of Hong Kong(Direct Grant No.4058038);and the Hong Kong General Research Council(No.14603416).

摘　　要：We examine the impact of China s higher education expansion on labor market outcomes for young college graduates using China s 20051 Percent Population Sample Survey.Exploiting variations in the expansion of university places across provinces and high school cohorts between 1999 and 2003,we apply a difference-in-differences model and take into account the demand-side effect by using the Bartik index.We find that the expansion of higher education in China decreased unemployment rates among males and college graduates in the short term.However,the policy decreased women s labor force participation and individual earnings in high-skilled white-collar jobs.We further discuss potential channels affecting the outcomes that were observed.Our results illustrate the broad economic benefits of higher education.The findings shed new light on the contribution of young skilled labor in the economic growth of China and call for policies that can alleviate the short-term negative impact of higher education on individual students and maximize human capital.Our study also provides an interesting example of the consequences of the unequal expansion of higher education opportunities on the labor market of an emerging economy.

关 键 词：difference-in・dififerences higher education expansion labor force participation UNEMPLOYMENT WAGE 

分 类 号：F42[经济管理—产业经济]