2016-2019年中国大学生田径男子十项全能竞技实力分析与模型构建  

Analysis on Competitive Strength of Chinese University Students'Men's Decathlon in Track and Field from 2016 to 2019 and Build with Gray Model

作　　者：蒋菠 罗雯[2] 韦颂 肖宇翔[3] JIANG Bo;LUO Wen;WEI Song;XIAO Yuxiang(Physical Education College of Health, YI Bin University, Yibin Sichuan 644000, China;Physical Education College, Southwest University, Chongqing 400715, China;Chongqing College of Humanities, Science & Technology, Hechuan, Chongqing 401524, China)

机构地区：[1]宜宾学院体育与大健康学院,四川宜宾644000 [2]西南大学体育学院,重庆400715 [3]重庆人文科技学院,重庆合川401524

出　　处：《西南师范大学学报（自然科学版）》2022年第4期119-124,共6页Journal of Southwest China Normal University(Natural Science Edition)

基　　金：全国教育科学“十四五”规划2021年度课题教育部重点项目(DLA210371);2019年重庆市教委人文社会科学研究项目(19SKGH223);2020年西南大学教师教学发展研究项目(SWFZ202016);西南大学2020年教学改革科研项目(2020JY069);重庆市体育局2020年体育科学研究项目(D202010).

摘　　要：该研究以2016—2019年大学生田径运动会男子十项全能竞技项目为研究对象,主要采用文献资料法、数理统计法、比较法等研究方法对我国大学生男子十项全能成绩进行实证研究,运用灰色预测模型预测了未来大学生田径锦标赛十项全能的最好成绩和平均成绩.研究认为,大学生十项全能成绩影响较大的因素依次为:上肢力量、速度爆发力、下肢爆发力,各项目之间都存在明显相关性.建议应根据不同运动员的特征和情况,制定符合运动员自身的训练方案,针对性科学训练,以期达到理想成绩,旨在促进大学高水平竞技体育后备人才的储备、提升中国大学生田径竞技水平、推动人才强国与体育强国建设.In the research,the 2016-2019 college student track and field games men's decathlon competition level has been taken as the research object.Literature data,mathematical statistics,comparative methods and other research methods have been used to conduct empirical analysis on Chinese college students'men's decathlon performance,using gray the prediction model predicts the best score and average score of the decathlon in the future college student track and field championships.It is concluded that the factors with a greater impact on the decathlon performance of college students are:upper limb strength,speed explosive power,lower limb explosive power,and there is a clear correlation between the various items.It is suggested that,according to the characteristics and conditions of different athletes,a training program that suits the athletes should be formulated,and scientific training should be carried out in a targeted manner in order to achieve ideal results.The purpose of the research is to take the spirit of the 19th National Congress of the Communist Party of China as the guide,implement the deep integration of sports and education,promote the reserve of high-level competitive sports talents in universities,improve the athletics level of Chinese college students,and promote the construction of a country with talents and sports.

关 键 词：中国 大学生 十项全能 竞技水平 实证分析 灰色预测 

分 类 号：G82[文化科学—体育训练]