后疫情时代中国企业对日直接投资的发展态势分析  

An Analysis on the Development Trend of Chinese Enterprises'Direct Investment in Japan in Post-epidemic Era

作　　者：刘红[1] 郑晨笛 Liu Hong;Zheng Chendi

机构地区：[1]辽宁大学国际经济政治学院,沈阳110136

出　　处：《日本研究》2022年第1期88-96,共9页Japan Studies

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目“日本新一轮引资政策调整与中国对日直接投资增长研究”(批准号17BGJ068);2020年辽宁大学亚洲研究中心资助项目(批准号:Y202006);辽宁大学亚洲研究中心资助项目“后疫情时代中日韩供应链调整与合作研究”(批准号Y202006)。

摘　　要：在新冠肺炎疫情暴发和蔓延的影响下,中国企业对日直接投资在诸如投资规模、投资结构、投资方式等方面出现了新变化。这些新变化的产生缘于疫情从供给和需求两端改变了原有的对日投资生态环境。在后疫情时代,中国企业对日直接投资短期内受困于日本经济恢复缓慢、商务交往限制等因素仍将在低位徘徊;从中长期看,日本引资战略的持续、东亚区域经济合作的深化都将成为促进中国对日投资增长的有利因素,两国如果能够克服中日关系摇摆不定、民意基础脆弱等不利因素,则中国企业对日直接投资规模有望创历史新高。Under the influence of the outbreak and spread of the COVID-19,Chinese companies'direct investment in Japan has undergone new changes in aspects such as investment scale,investment structure,and investment methods.These new changes are since the epidemic has changed the original ecological environment of investment in Japan from both ends of supply and demand.In the post-epidemic era,Chinese companies'direct investment in Japan will remain at a low level due to factors such as the slow recovery of Japan's economy and restrictions on business exchanges in the short term.In the medium and long term,the continuation of Japan's investment strategy and the deepening of regional cooperation in East Asia will all become favorable factors for the growth of China's investment in Japan.If the two countries can overcome the unfavorable factors such as the vacillation of Sino-Japanese relations and the fragile public opinion base,the scale of Chinese direct investment in Japan is expected to hit a record high.

关 键 词：后疫情时代 对日直接投资 全球产业链 中日关系 RCEP 

分 类 号：D83[政治法律—政治学] D87[政治法律—外交学]