双循环格局下中国出口绿色贸易水平测度及影响因素分析  

Measurement of China's Export Green Trade Level and Analysis of the Inftuencing Factors under the Dual Circulation Pattern

作　　者：曹俊文[1] 申婧怡 CAO Jun-wen;SHEN Jing-yi(Jiangxi University of Finance and Economics,Nanchang 330013,China)

机构地区：[1]江西财经大学统计学院,江西南昌330013

出　　处：《当代财经》2022年第4期100-110,共11页Contemporary Finance and Economics

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目“增加值视角下贸易隐含碳核算及绿色贸易利益评估研究”(19BTJ009);江西省研究生创新专项资金项目“江西省生态系统生产总值核算及其应用研究”(YC2021-B123)。

摘　　要：以进出口总值来测算一国(或地区)贸易水平的核算方法造成了不同程度的重复计算且没有考虑贸易隐含环境成本。本文构建出口绿色贸易增加值这一指标,采用0ECD2021年最近公布的66个国家(或地区)2000-2018年世界投入产出数据,从双循环视角对中国出口绿色贸易增加值进行测算和分析。研究发现:中国出口绿色贸易增加值从2000年的1148.61亿美元上升到2018年的25020.49亿美元,出口绿色贸易增加值的快速上升不仅是因为出口贸易规模的扩大,而且与贸易环境成本减少有关;低碳知识密集型制造业和高碳资本密集型制造业的出口结构不利于贸易环境成本的降低;中国国内国际循环强度的阶段性特征呈现从“国际大循环”向“国内国际双循环”发展的演变趋势;国内、国际循环强度对中国出口绿色贸易增加值均有积极影响,国际循环强度的影响更大。因此,必须以国内大循环为主体,以国内大循环推动国际大循环,提高出口贸易附加值,降低出口贸易环境成本,从而提高中国出口绿色贸易水平。The method of measuring a country's(or a region's)trade level in terms of the total value of exports and imports results in different degrees of double counting and this method does not take into account the implicit environmental costs of trade.By constructing the index of the value added green trade in exports and adopting the latest world input-output data from 66 countries(or re-gions)from 2000 to 2018 published by OECD,this paper measures and analyzes the value added green trade in China's exports from a dual circulation perspective.The findings show that the value added green trade in China's exports rose from US$114.861 billion in 2000 to USS2502.49 billion in 2018.The rapid rise in the value added green trade in exports is not only due to the expansion of export trade scale,but also related to the reduction of trade environmental costs.The export structures of the low-carbon knowledge-intensive manufacturing industry and the high-carbon capital-intensive manufacturing industry are not conducive to the reduction of trade environmental costs.The stage characteristics of China's domestic and international circulation intensity present an evolution trend from“international big circulation”to“domestic and international dual circulation”.Both the domestic and international circulation intensities have a positive impact on the value added green trade of Chi-na's export,with the international circulation intensity having a greater impact.Therefore,it is neces-sary to take the domestic circulation as the main body and promote the international circulation with the domestic circulation,to improve the added value of export products and reduce the environmental costs of export products,so as to improve the level of China s export green trade.

关 键 词：双循环 出口绿色贸易增加值 投入产出模型 

分 类 号：F740[经济管理—国际贸易]