我国“一带一路”顺梯度对外直接投资、产业转移与产业结构升级  

The Effect of Outward Foreign Direct Investment in Belt-and-Road Countries on China’s Industrial Structure Upgrade Through the Path of Industrial Transfer

作　　者：曾倩[1] 刘津汝[1,2] Zeng Qian;Liu Jinru

机构地区：[1]西安外国语大学经济金融学院 [2]西安外国语大学经济金融学院经济学教研室

出　　处：《投资研究》2021年第12期138-151,共14页Review of Investment Studies

基　　金：陕西省社会科学基金项目(2020D025);陕西省科技计划项目软科学研究计划(2022KRM116);西安外国语大学重点科研项目(19XWA03)。

摘　　要：本文揭示了发展中国家对外顺梯度直接投资如何通过产业转移路径促进母国产业结构升级,并从中国与“一带一路”国家视角给出经验证据。在理论分析层面,从“顺梯度对外直接投资-生产要素流动”和“生产要素流动-母国产业结构升级”两个环节阐述产业转移的关键作用;在实证检验层面,采用2003-2019年我国内地除西藏以外的30个省市区的面板数据,证实了产业转移在我国对“一带一路”沿线顺梯度直接投资促进母国产业结构升级效应中的中介作用。The main contribution of this paper lies in that it reveals how Outward Foreign Direct Investment(OFDI)in developing countries’in the gradual gradient promotes the industrial upgrading of the home country through the path of industrial transfer and gives empirical evidence from the national perspective of China and the Belt and Road Initiative.At the level of theoretical analysis,the key role of industrial transfer is illustrated from the two links of“gradual gradient OFDI-flow of production factor”and“flow of production factor-industrial upgrading of the home country”;At the level of empirical test,by the study of the panel data of 30 provinces,municipalities and autonomous regions other than Tibet in China from 2003 to 2019,it is found that the industrial transfer in China has a significant intermediary effect on the OFDI of 49 developing countries along the Belt and Road Initiative to promote the industrial upgrading effect of the home country.

关 键 词：“一带一路” 顺梯度对外直接投资 产业转移 产业结构升级 

分 类 号：F125[经济管理—世界经济]