国际市场天然气价格大涨的原因、影响及对策  被引量:6

The reason,impact and countermeasures of natural gas prices in international market

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作  者:黄汉权 徐为民 戴晓璐 Huang Hanquan;Xu Weimin;Dai Xiaolu

机构地区:[1]国家发展改革委价格成本调查中心

出  处:《价格理论与实践》2021年第10期5-8,共4页Price:Theory & Practice

摘  要:天然气是清洁高效的基础能源,我国天然气对外依存度较高,国际市场价格对我国产生重要影响。本文在概括近期国际天然气市场价格走势特点的基础上,从供需两方面分析了国际天然气市场价格高涨的原因,并根据我国天然气进口价格的结构等情况,进一步分析了国际市场价格对我国产生的相关影响,同时也预估可能产生的诸多风险:一是因国际油价今后大幅上行,抬升我国天然气总体进口成本;二是因近年来异常气候多发、北方地区用气量峰谷差大,使冬季保供面临极端情况的考验;三是因冬季采暖需求旺盛造成区域性供气缺口,成为商业炒作抬价套利的素材。为保障我国安全平稳度过今冬明春的用气高峰期,研究提出了积极采取有效应对措施的相关建议,以妥善协调处理国际市场价格大幅上涨引发的各类矛盾,平衡化解因此产生的相关风险。Natural gas is a clean and efficient basic energy.China’s natural gas has high dependence,and the international market price has an important impact on China.Based on the characteristics of the recent international gas market price trend,this paper analyzes the reason why the international gas market is high,and according to the structure of China’s natural gas import price,the international market price is related to China.Impact,and it is also estimated that many risks that may be produced:First,due to the future,the international oil price is greatly implemented,and the overall import cost of China’s natural gas is raised;the second is that the abnormal climate has been abnormal in recent years,and the gas volume peaks in the northern region will have a large water confession.The test is facing extreme cases;the third is that there is a regional air supply and dismissivity due to the winter heating demand,and become a material for commercial speculation.In order to protect China’s safe and smooth spending the peak of Mingchun in this winter,the research puts forward the proposal to actively adopt effectiveness and measure to properly coordinate all kinds of contradictions caused by the sharp rise in international market prices,and balanced resolution therefore related risks.

关 键 词:天然气 进口天然气 天然气价格 保供稳价 

分 类 号:F416.22[经济管理—产业经济] F764.1

 

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