机场航空器碳排放演化特征及影响因素分解  

The Evolutionary Characteristics and the Decomposition of Driving Factors of Aircraft Carbon Emissions at Airports

作　　者：宋文 胡荣[1] 曾雯 王德芸 张军峰[1] Song Wen;Hu Rong;Zeng Wen;Wang Deyun;Zhang Junfeng(College of Civil Aviation,Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics,Nanjing 211106,China)

机构地区：[1]南京航空航天大学民航学院,江苏南京211106

出　　处：《华东交通大学学报》2022年第2期53-61,共9页Journal of East China Jiaotong University

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(U1933117)。

摘　　要：科学识别并分析行业因素对自身碳排放的影响是制定针对性减排措施,实现2030年碳达峰的重要基础。以中国31个省(自治区、直辖市)的2007—2016年机场航空器碳排放为样本,首先,分析中国机场航空器碳排放的时空演变特征;其次,采用LMDI分解方法讨论机场开放程度、机场连接强度、运输强度及能耗强度对航空器碳排放的影响;最后,针对影响效果提出完善航线规划、优化网络结构与机型指派等减排建议。结果表明:全国机场航空器碳排放量年均增长率约为9.46%,东部沿海、西南地区的机场航空器碳排放水平较高,广东增加值最大、西藏最小,河北增速最快、上海最慢;机场开放程度、机场连接强度及运输强度的变动促进碳排放增长,其中机场开放程度对碳排放的影响最为显著;能耗强度变动抑制碳排放增长,且抑制效果逐年加强。Scientific identification and analysis of the impact of industry factors on carbon emission will be an important basis for formulating targeted emission reduction measures to achieve carbon peak in 2030.Taking the airport aircraft carbon emission of 31 provinces(including autonomous regions and municipalities)from 2007 to2016 in China as a sample,the study firstly analyzed the temporal and spatial evolution characteristics of China’s airport aircraft carbon emission.Then,it used the LMDI decomposition method to discuss the degree of airport openness and airport connectivity strength,transportation intensity and energy consumption intensity on aircraft carbon emissions.Finally,it put forward emission reduction suggestions for improving route planning,optimizing network structure and fleet assignment in response to the impact.The results show that the average annual growth rate of aircraft carbon emission in airports across the country is about 9.46%.The carbon emission level of airport aircraft in the eastern and southwestern regions are relatively high,with Guangdong having the largest added value,Tibet the smallest value,Hebei the fastest growth rate,and Shanghai the slowest growth rate.The changes in the degree of airport openness,airport connection strength,and transportation intensity promote the growth of carbon emission.Among them,the degree of airport openness has the most significant impact on carbon emission.Changes in energy consumption intensity inhibit the growth of carbon emission,and the effect has been strengthened year by year.

关 键 词：航空器碳排放 碳达峰 对数平均迪氏指数 机场开放程度 能耗强度 

分 类 号：U8[交通运输工程] F562[经济管理—产业经济]