中国海洋经济效率的时空格局演变与动力机制研究  

The Temporal and Spatial Pattern Evolution and Dynamic Mechanism of China′s Marine Economic Efficiency

作　　者：肖健华[1] 师雨瑶 XIAO Jianhua;SHI Yuyao(Marine Innovation and Development Research Center,Wuyi University,Jiangmen 529020,China)

机构地区：[1]五邑大学海洋创新发展研究中心,江门529020

出　　处：《海洋开发与管理》2022年第4期76-81,共6页Ocean Development and Management

基　　金：教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金项目(21YJA630097);广东省海洋经济发展(海洋六大产业)专项资金项目(GDNRC[2020]069);广东省普通高校特色创新项目(2020WTSCX097).

摘　　要：为促进我国海洋经济的高质量可持续发展,文章选取海洋经济投入和产出的面板数据,运用超效率数据包络分析模型测算并分析我国海洋经济效率的时空格局演变及其动力机制,在此基础上提出发展建议。研究结果表明:2001-2019年我国海洋经济效率曲线呈整体向前、阶段波折和峰谷交替的周期性演变,其中“十五”时期为粗放型发展阶段,“十一五”时期为转型升级阶段,“十二五”和“十三五”时期为可持续发展阶段;海洋经济效率地区发展不平衡,演变类型包括平稳型、波动型和上升型,其中上海一直保持提升势头,而广西等地区长期较低;海洋经济效率格局演变的动力机制包括“十五”时期的资源驱动、“十一五”时期的技术驱动以及“十二五”和“十三五”时期的政策-技术双轮驱动;未来应促进海洋经济与生态文明协调发展、海洋产业结构优化和区域海洋经济协调发展以及海洋科技创新驱动发展。In order to promote the high-quality and sustainable development of marine economy,the paper selected the panel data of ocean economy in terms of inputs and outputs,used the super-efficiency model to analyze the temporal and spatial pattern evolution and dynamic mechanism of China′s marine economic efficiency,and put forward development suggestions.The results showed that during the period from 2001 to 2019,China′s marine economic efficiency curve presented the phenomenon of overall forward development,stage twists and turns,peaks and valleys alternate.The 10 th 5-Year Plan period was the extensive development stage,the 11 th 5-Year Plan period was the transformation and upgrading stage,and the 12 th 5-Year Plan and the 13 th 5-Year Plan periods were the sustainable development stage.The regional development of marine economic efficiency was unbalanced,and its evolution types included stable,fluctuating and rising.Among them,Shanghai had maintained an upward momentum,while Guangxi and other regions had been low for a long time.The dynamic mechanisms of the evolution of the marine economic efficiency pattern were as follows:the 10 th 5-Year Plan period was driven by resources,the 11 th 5-Year Plan period was driven by technology,the 12 th 5-Year Plan and 13 th 5-Year Plan periods were driven by 2 wheels of policy and technology.In the future,some measures should be taken in the coordinated development of marine economy and ecological civilization,optimization of marine industrial structure,coordinated development of regional marine economy,and innovation-driven development of marine science and technology.

关 键 词：海洋经济 经济效率 科技创新 时空演变 数据包络分析 

分 类 号：F06[经济管理—政治经济学] P74[天文地球—海洋科学]