增加值贸易视角下中国各省隐含碳贸易研究  

Research on Embodied Carbon Trade in Chinese Provinces from the Perspective of Value-added Trade

作　　者：邓光耀 DENG Guangyao(Center for Quantitative Analysis of Gansu Economic Development,Lanzhou University of Finance and Economics,Lanzhou 730020,China;School of Statistics,Lanzhou University of Finance and Economics,Lanzhou 730020,China)

机构地区：[1]兰州财经大学甘肃经济发展数量分析研究中心,甘肃兰州730020 [2]兰州财经大学统计学院,甘肃兰州730020

出　　处：《福建商学院学报》2022年第1期6-16,共11页Journal of Fujian Business University

基　　金：甘肃省杰出青年基金“甘肃省水资源政策模拟和评估研究”(20JR5RA206);甘肃省教育厅双一流科研重点项目“甘肃省高质量发展的统计测度、战略选择及实现路径研究”(GSSYLXM-06)。

摘　　要：利用中国31省区域间投入产出表和碳排放数据,在增加值贸易视角下,研究中国各省隐含碳贸易。从国内贸易来看,2012年隐含碳调入量最大的三个省份为江苏、浙江和河南,2015年隐含碳调入量最大的三个省份为浙江、广东和河南;2012年隐含碳调出量最大的三个省份为河北、内蒙古和山东,2015年隐含碳调出量最大的三个省份为内蒙古、河北和江苏。从国际贸易来看,中国2012年和2015年均是隐含碳净出口国;隐含碳进出口量前三位的省份均是江苏、山东和广东。总体来说,增加值碳排放系数和增加值系数的变动导致了中国隐含碳出口增加,而列昂惕夫逆矩阵和出口的变动导致了中国隐含碳出口减少。中国应加大碳减排方面的技术投入,优化产业结构,实现碳达峰和碳中和。This paper uses the data of inter-regional input-output tables and carbon emissions in 31 provinces of China to study the international and domestic trade of embodied carbon in China's provinces from the perspective of value-added trade.In terms of domestic trade,the three provinces with the largest embodied carbon inflow in 2012 were Jiangsu,Zhejiang and Henan;the three provinces with the largest embodied carbon inflow in 2015 were Zhejiang,Guangdong and Henan.The three provinces with the largest embodied carbon outflow in 2012 were Hebei,Inner Mongolia and Shandong;the three provinces with the largest embodied carbon outflow in 2015 were Inner Mongolia,Hebei and Jiangsu.From the international trade perspective,China was a net exporter of embodied carbon in 2012 and 2015.The top three provinces in terms of embodied carbon imports and exports were Jiangsu,Shandong and Guangdong.Generally speaking,changes in the value-added carbon emission coefficient and value-added coefficient have led to an increase in China's embodied carbon exports,while changes in the Leontief inverse matrix and exports have led to a decrease in China's embodied carbon exports.China should increase technical investment in carbon emission reduction,optimize industrial structure and achieve carbon peak and carbon neutralization.

关 键 词：增加值贸易 隐含碳贸易 多区域投入产出模型 结构分解分析 碳排放 

分 类 号：F727[经济管理—产业经济]