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作 者:史依颖 杨翠红[1,2] SHI Yiying;YANG Cuihong(Academy of Mathematics and Systems Science,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100190;University of Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100049)
机构地区:[1]中国科学院数学与系统科学研究院,北京100190 [2]中国科学院大学,北京100049
出 处:《系统科学与数学》2022年第3期568-587,共20页Journal of Systems Science and Mathematical Sciences
基 金:国家自然科学基金项目(71988101,71673269)资助课题。
摘 要:投入产出表的间断性和时滞性使得投入产出分析的应用受到一定的限制,供给使用表作为投入产出体系的基础数据,与投入产出表相比具有数据易获得、时滞期较短的优点;且供给使用表同时包含了产业和产品两个维度的信息,基于供给使用表的模型可以反映出产业部门和产品部门的生产异质性,即同一产业部门生产不同产品和同一产品被不同产业生产时遵循不同的生产投入结构、生产能耗等,而这是对称性投入产出表所不能反映的.文章在两阶段SUBE模型的基础上构建了RAS-SUBE模型,简化了求解过程并满足了行业部门的约束.通过对中国产出乘数进行实证分析可得RAS-SUBE模型与经典的两阶段SUBE模型、投入产出模型得到的结果基本一致,说明RAS-SUBE模型可用于经济分析;同时,通过对生产的能耗进行分析得出产业和产品的生产具有能耗异质性,该能耗异质性与产品和产业的混部门生产程度有关.The less timeliness of publication of input-output tables(IOTs) and the time gap between the years of publication may limit the application of IOTs to a certain extent.As the basic data for the construction of symmetric IOTs,rectangular Supply-Use tables(SUTs) have the advantages of easy access to original statistic data and better timeliness,which can be published annually and released timely.The Supply-Use Based Econometric(SUBE) approach provides a method to calculate industry and product production related indexes from rectangular SUTs.The results calculated from SUBE can show the industry’s and product’s production heterogeneity,which means that the production coefficients differ when the same product produced by different industries or the same industry produce different products.We simplified the Two-Stage SUBE with RAS method and named it RAS-USBE.In this paper we conducted empirical assessments of RAS-SUBE on 2002,2007 and 2012 for China so as to validate the proposed RAS-SUBE and to show the production heterogeneity of China’s energy consumption.
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