基于合作博弈论的风–光–水–氢多主体能源系统增益分配策略  

Synergistic Gains Allocation for Multi-stakeholder Wind-solar-hydro-hydrogen Energy System Based on Cooperative Game Theory

作　　者：段佳南 谢俊[1] 冯丽娜 陈付山[2] DUAN Jia’nan;XIE Jun;FENG Li’na;CHEN Fushan(College of Energy and Electrical Engineering,Hohai University,Nanjing 211100,Jiangsu Province,China;Jiangsu Engineering Consulting Center Co.,Ltd.,Nanjing 210003,Jiangsu Province,China)

机构地区：[1]河海大学能源与电气学院,江苏省南京市211100 [2]江苏省工程咨询中心有限公司,江苏省南京市210003

出　　处：《电网技术》2022年第5期1703-1711,共9页Power System Technology

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(U1965104);国家重点研发计划项目(2019YFE0105200)。

摘　　要：多利益主体协同互补运行模式是今后能源转型的重要方向之一。提出了基于合作博弈理论的风、光、水、氢多主体能源系统增量效益(增益)分配策略。通过构建出力期望函数来描述多个风、光发电利益主体聚合后出力的随机性问题,并以联盟发电量最大为优化目标统一建立非合作模式下与合作模式下的调度模型。在构造电量增益函数的基础上,应用合作博弈论分别建立Shapley值法、Aumann-Shapley值法的增益分配模型。通过5利益主体以及雅砻江下游流域50利益主体的算例分析得到,梯级水电来水期对风–光–水–氢多主体能源系统合作运行的增量效益影响较大;风–光–水–氢多主体合作运行可以较大幅度提高各主体运行的增量效益和合作联盟的整体效益。The operation mode of multi-stakeholder in the complementary coordination is one of the significant energy transitions in days to come.This paper mainly focuses on the allocation mechanism of synergistic gains of wind power,photovoltaic power,cascade hydropower and hydrogen stations based on the cooperative game theory.In order to gain the maximum output power of the coalition,the dispatch models of non-cooperative and cooperative modes are established uniformly,using the output expectation function to describe the uncertainty problem after the aggregation of multiple stakeholders of wind and PV powers.Then the Shapley Value and the Aumann-Shapley Value in the cooperative game theory are applied to allocate the synergistic gains after constructing the value function.Finally,the cases of a 5-stakeholder and Lower Yalong River Basin 50-stakeholderwind-solar-hydrohydrogen energy systems show that the synergistic gains are highly influenced by natural inflow of hydropower,and that the collaborative operation will significantly improve the benefits of both the individual stakeholder and the cooperative coalition.

关 键 词：合作博弈论 风–光–水–氢多主体能源系统 增益分配策略 SHAPLEY值法 Aumann-Shapley值法 

分 类 号：TM73[电气工程—电力系统及自动化]