应用GM(1,N)模型分析农村居民消费价格指数  

Applying the GM(1,N)Model to Analyze the Consumer Price Index of Rural Residents

作　　者：王璐[1] WANG Lu(Shanghai University of Engineering Science,Shanghai 201620,China)

机构地区：[1]上海工程技术大学,上海201620

出　　处：《经济研究导刊》2022年第13期16-18,共3页Economic Research Guide

摘　　要：以《中国统计年鉴》公布的我国2005—2019年农村总CPI,以及在食品、衣着、家庭设备用品及维修服务、医疗保健和个人用品、交通和通信、娱乐教育文化用品及服务和居住方面的消费价格指数等为原始数据,建立基于多因素影响的农村居民消费价格指数灰色系统模型,用定量的方法来分析我国农村总CPI与各分类CPI之间的相关性。模型检验结果表明,我国农村居民在食品、医疗保健和个人用品方面的支出较高,对家庭设备用品及维修服务、交通和通信重视程度较低。在此基础上,提出相应的对策建议。Based on the total CPI of rural areas in China from 2005 to 2019 published in the China Statistical Yearbook and the consumer price indices in food,clothing,household equipment supplies and maintenance services,health care and personal effects,transportation and communication,entertainment,education and cultural supplies and services and housing as the original data,a gray system model of rural consumer price index based on the influence of multiple factors is established,and the quantitative The model test results show that China’s rural areas spend more on food,health care and personal goods and less on household equipment and maintenance services,transportation and communication,and put forward corresponding countermeasure suggestions.

关 键 词：GM(1 N)模型 农村居民 消费价格指数 灰色关联分析 

分 类 号：F126.1[经济管理—世界经济]