宁夏农业综合开发项目区农业系统气候脆弱性研究——以典型村为例  

Research on the Climate Vulnerability of Agricultural System in Ningxia Comprehensive Agricultural Development Project Area——Taking Typical Village as an Example

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作  者:梁晓磊 翟晓慧 LIANG Xiao-lei;ZHAI Xiao-hui(Department of Management,Taiyuan Normal University,Jinzhong,Shanxi 030619)

机构地区:[1]太原师范学院管理系,山西晋中030619

出  处:《安徽农业科学》2022年第10期46-50,共5页Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences

摘  要:为明确宁夏不同生态类型区各农业综合开发项目村的农业脆弱性,选取4类共19项指标,构建各典型村的农业系统气候脆弱性评价指标体系,通过AHP层次分析法确定各指标权重,采用分类综合指标分析法从敏感性和适应性两方面对各典型村农业系统气候脆弱性现状进行定量评价,并分析影响各村气候脆弱性的主要因素,最后提出针对性措施。结果表明,影响各村敏感性和适应性的指标各不相同,二者基本呈负相关。5个村的敏感性指数除北马坊(17.61)外均在47.64~53.45,表明北马坊村敏感性较低而其余4个村敏感性较高;适应能力在53.23~76.79,表明5个村的适应能力居中等偏上;5个村的脆弱度均不低于2级,表明各村的气候脆弱度较高,排列顺序为五里墩村>观音村>孙家河村>小店子村>北马坊村。In order to clarify the agricultural vulnerability of various agricultural comprehensive development project villages in different ecological types of Ningxia, a total of 19 indicators in 4 categories were selected to construct the climate vulnerability evaluation index system of the agricultural system for each typical village.The weight of each indicator is determined by the AHP method, the classification and comprehensive index analysis method is used to quantitatively evaluate the climate vulnerability status of each typical village agricultural system from the two aspects of sensitivity and adaptability, and analyze the main factors affecting the climate vulnerability of each village, and finally propose targeted measures.The results showed that the indicators affecting the sensitivity and adaptability of each village were different, and the two were basically negatively correlated.The sensitivity index of 5 villages was 47.64-53.45 except Beimafang(17.61),indicating that Beimafang Village was less sensitive and the other 4 villages were more sensitive.The adaptability was 53.23-76.79,indicating that the adaptability of the five villages was in the upper middle range.The vulnerability of the five villages was above class 2,indicating that the climate vulnerability of each village was relatively high, and the order was Wulidun Village> Guanyin Village> Sunjiahe Village> Xiaodianzi Village> Beimafang Village.

关 键 词:农业综合开发项目区 农业系统 气候脆弱性 典型村 宁夏 

分 类 号:S181[农业科学—农业基础科学]

 

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