“双碳”背景下,气候安全的内涵与战略研究  

Research on Connotation and Strategy of Climate Security under Carbon Peaking and Carbon Neutrality

作　　者：黄建 冯升波 

机构地区：[1]南京信息工程大学气候与环境治理研究院,南京210044 [2]中国宏观经济研究院能源研究所,北京100038

出　　处：《中国能源》2022年第4期36-43,共8页Energy of China

基　　金：中国气象局2021年度气象软科学研究项目“气候安全战略研究”(编号:2021ZZXM40)。

摘　　要：气候安全一般是指建立在气候风险基础上的一种非传统安全,在碳达峰碳中和背景下,应重新思考气候安全的内涵,将其从“气候风险基础上的安全保障”扩展到“气候风险应对、节能减排与‘双碳’目标系统,以及气象与信息资源保障系统的高质量安全”。在此基础上,本文提出了保障气候安全的“54321”战略框架,通过补短板、保目标、提重点、稳愿景四大策略,实现2030年、2045年、2060年三个阶段的五大目标,并基于“软”治理与“硬”科技两方面措施,在创新理念的支撑下,稳步有序保障气候安全。Generally,climate security is a kind of non-traditional security based on climate risk.Under the target of carbon peaking and carbon neutrality,the connotation of climate security should be redefined and extended from"security guarantee based on climate risk"to"high-quality security of climate and related systems",including risks of adaptation to climate change,carbon mitigation related security,and the security of carbon-related energy,economics and resources systems.Based on the definition,this paper puts forward the"54321"framework of climate security.The conclusion suggests that,in order to ensure climate security,we will strive for five objectives,including carbon peaking,climate adaptation society,climate economic society,carbon neutrality,and climate friendly society,before 2030,2045 and 2060,by improving the shortages,guaranteeing the targets,enhancing the key points,and stabilizing the visions,based on the means of governance and technology,and the idea of innovation.

关 键 词：碳达峰 碳中和 气候安全 战略 

分 类 号：F426[经济管理—产业经济]