经济与资源约束条件下的人口承载力研究——以郑州大都市区为例  

On population carrying capacity with constraints of economy and resources:A case study of Zhengzhou metropolitan area

作　　者：邹小玲 王鹏飞 ZOU Xiaoling;WANG Pengfei(School of Finance and Economics, Henan Polytechnic University,Jiaozuo 454000, Henan, China)

机构地区：[1]河南理工大学财经学院,河南焦作454000

出　　处：《河南理工大学学报（社会科学版）》2022年第3期53-61,共9页Journal of Henan Polytechnic University:Social Sciences

基　　金：河南省高等学校哲学社会科学智库研究项目(2021-ZKYJ-04);河南理工大学太行发展研究院智库项目(THZK202002)。

摘　　要：本文从区域经济发展的视角聚焦城市综合承载力的变化趋势,通过梳理人口承载力及其研究方法,借助多因素研究模型作为测算工具,对郑州大都市区“1+4”空间规划下的郑州、开封、新乡、焦作、许昌5座地级市的人口承载力进行了分析。文章基于经济和资源的约束条件,选择GDP、DPI、粮食产量和人口密度4个测算指标,通过研究发现,郑州大都市区按照低参照标准测算的结果表明人口承载力相对富余,但是以高参照标准测算的结果表明人口承载力相对不足。最后,文章从提升经济人口承载力和资源人口承载力方面,对提升郑州大都市区人口承载力提出了相关的政策建议。This paper focuses on the changing trend of urban comprehensive carrying capacity from the perspective of regional economic development.Through sorting out the population carrying capacity and its research methods,as well as applying multi-factor research model as the calculation tool,the paper analyzes the population carrying capacity of five cities,including Zhengzhou,Kaifeng,Xinxiang,Jiaozuo and Xuchang,under the“1+4”spacial planning of Zhengzhou metropolitan area.Because of the constraints of economy and resources,this author selects GDP,DPI,grain output and population density as four measurement indicators.Through the research,it is found that the population carrying capacity of Zhengzhou metropolitan area is relatively surplus if it is measured with a low standard,while it is relatively insufficient if it is compared with a high standard.Finally,this paper puts forward relevant policy suggestions from two aspects,such as improving economic population carrying capacity,enhancing resource population carrying capacity,in order to promote the population carrying capacity of Zhengzhou metropolitan area.

关 键 词：郑州大都市区 人口承载力 人口容量 压力指数 

分 类 号：F205[经济管理—国民经济]