Roles of commodity futures derivatives and financial crises in global food security  

作　　者：Victor Edem Sosoo David Iheke Okorie Haiqiang Chen 

机构地区：[1]Wang Yanan Institute for Studies in Economics,Xiamen University,Xiamen,P.R.China [2]School of Economics,Xiamen University,Xiamen,P.R.China

出　　处：《Economic and Political Studies》2021年第3期336-357,共22页经济与政治研究（英文版）

基　　金：This work was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China[Grant No.71850011];the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities[Grant No.20720181004].

摘　　要：Commodity futures have been largely blamed for the price hikes in 2007/mid-2008 and 2010/2011 and the decreased food security around the world,especially in less developed countries.There still exist serious disagreements between most economists and policymakers as to whether this is the case.We run time-series regressions for all samples and subsamples for lower-income,middle-income,and high-income countries respectively.The empirical results show that commodity futures have a more significant negative impact on food security in low-income countries than in middle-income and high-income economies.Financial crises,however,have a significant impact on food security in all the regional divisions as a whole and are seen to exasperate the negative effect of some of the commodity futures on food security.We also find evidence that a certain degree of speculation in some commodities stabilises prices of those commodities as expected by theory.Our results have important policy implications as policymakers must control these speculations but should also be careful not to overregulate the market.

关 键 词：Food security financial crises futures market SPECULATION 

分 类 号：F75[经济管理—国际贸易]