China macroeconomic report 2021:China’s macroeconomy marches towards normalisation  

作　　者：Xiaoguang Liu Yuanchun Liu Yan Yan 

机构地区：[1]National Academy of Development and Strategy,Renmin University of China,Beijing,China [2]School of Economics,Renmin University of China,Beijing,China [3]China Chengxin International Credit Rating Company Limited(CCXI),Beijing,China

出　　处：《Economic and Political Studies》2021年第4期379-416,共38页经济与政治研究（英文版）

基　　金：Beijing Research Centre of the Thought on Socialism with Chinese Characteristics for a New Era[Grant No.19LLLJA001].

摘　　要：In the year 2021,China’s economy continues to recover and moves towards policy normalisation.This report identifies features indicating the beginning of China’s macroeconomic normalisation,the internal and external pressure it faces,and the supporting policies.Due to the economic recovery and the base effect,China’s real GDP growth rate is projected to reach above 8.0%in 2021,and the quarterly growth rate will drop from 18.3%in Q1 to 5.0%in Q4,showing a declining trend.Based on qualitative assessments and statistical forecasts,this report puts forward some policy suggestions.

关 键 词：China’s macroeconomy COVID-19 economic recovery growth analysis 

分 类 号：F42[经济管理—产业经济]