中国农村动态多维贫困分析——基于CHNS抽样数据的研究  

A Dynamic Analysis of Multidimensional Poverty in Rural China:A Study Based on CHNS Sample Data

作　　者：吕新博[1] 赵伟 LV Xin-bo;ZHAO Wei(School of Foreign Languages,Shandong Agricultural University,Tai’an Shandong 271018,China;School of Economy Management(Business School),Shandong Agricultural University,Tai’an Shandong 271018,China)

机构地区：[1]山东农业大学外国语学院,山东泰安271018 [2]山东农业大学经济管理学院(商学院),山东泰安271018

出　　处：《苏州大学学报（哲学社会科学版）》2022年第3期126-137,共12页Journal of Soochow University(Philosophy & Social Science Edition)

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目“新型城镇化进程中农村基础设施投资公平性研究”(项目编号:14BJY099)的阶段性成果。

摘　　要：研究选取CHNS数据库中9个省份农村家庭2000—2015年的数据及2020年山东省农村调研数据,动态测度和分析了中国农村地区的多维贫困指数。研究表明:(1)进入新世纪后,农村整体多维贫困指数呈逐年下降趋势,这与逐步减少的多维贫困发生率密切相关;(2)教育、健康状况和医疗状况指标的改善,对于农村多维贫困指数下降的贡献最大。生活水平贫困指标整体也呈逐年下降的趋势,但是对农村多维贫困指数的贡献存在反复,其中农户清洁饮用和照明方面的贡献最小;(3)暂时性贫困家庭与长期多维贫困家庭同时存在,长期多维贫困家庭的比例逐渐低于暂时性多维贫困的比例;(4)个别省份多维贫困指数呈现波动和反弹,脱贫和返贫现象并存,脱贫效应的作用大于返贫效应和长期贫困效应,其中脱贫效应和长期贫困效应的交互作用是引起多维贫困指数变动的主要因素,返贫效应的作用是次要因素。Based on the data of rural households in nine provinces from 2000 to 2015 in CHNS database,this paper dynamically measures and analyzes the Multidimensional Poverty Index of rural areas in China.The results are as followed.(1)After entering the new century,the overall multidimensional poverty Index in rural areas shows a downward trend year by year,which is closely related to the gradually reduced incidence of multidimensional poverty.(2)The improvement of education and medical status indicators has the greatest contribution to the decline of multidimensional poverty index in rural areas.The overall living standard poverty index also showed a downward trend year by year,but there were repeated contributions to the rural multidimensional poverty index,among which the contribution of farmers’clean drinking and lighting was the smallest.(3)The temporary poverty families and long-term multi-dimensional poverty families existed at the same time,and the proportion of long-term multi-dimensional poverty families was gradually reduced than those of temporary multi-dimensional poverty.(4)The proportion of multi-dimensional poverty families in individual provinces fluctuated and rebounded.The effect of poverty alleviation is greater than that of returning to poverty and long-term poverty.The interaction between the effect of poverty alleviation and long-term poverty is the main factor causing the change of multi-dimensional poverty index,and the effect of returning to poverty is the secondary factor.

关 键 词：多维贫困 脱贫效应 返贫效应 长期贫困效应 

分 类 号：F327[经济管理—产业经济]