全球贸易自由化格局演变及其对FDI的影响  

Evolution of Global Trade Liberalization Pattern and its Impact on FDI

作　　者：户华玉 龚同 佘群芝[1] HU Hua-yu;GONG Tong;SHE Qun-zhi

机构地区：[1]中南财经政法大学经济学院 [2]武汉大学经济与管理学院

出　　处：《国际经贸探索》2022年第4期53-67,共15页International Economics and Trade Research

基　　金：中南财经政法大学中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助(202210307)。

摘　　要：在测度2000~2019年全球各国间贸易自由化关联的基础之上,文章采用社会网络分析方法对全球贸易自由化格局进行了分析,并结合测得的各国贸易自由化网络地位数据,重点考察了贸易自由化网络地位对FDI的影响。研究结果表明:全球贸易自由化网络朝着“密集化”和“多极化”方向发展,中国逐渐成为全球贸易自由化网络的新中心;贸易自由化网络地位与FDI正相关,处于贸易自由化网络中心地位的国家能够吸引到更多FDI;提升一国贸易自由化网络地位,能够促进该国源于直接关联国和第三国的FDI流入,且后者的效用强于前者;进一步研究表明,随着经济发展水平攀升,提升全球贸易自由化网络地位对FDI的吸引作用明显减弱。Based on the measurement of the association of trade liberalization among the countries in the world from 2000 to 2019, the paper uses social network analysis method to analyze the pattern of global trade liberalization, and combines the measured data on trade liberalization network position of the countries to investigate the impact of trade liberalization network position on FDI. The research results show that global trade liberalization network is developing towards “densification” and “multi-polarization”, and China has gradually become the new center of global trade liberalization network;trade liberalization network position is positively correlated with FDI. The countries in the center of trade liberalization network can attract more FDI;enhancing a country’s trade liberalization network position can promote the inflow of FDI from the directly related countries and the third country, and the latter is more effective than the former;further research indicates that with the rising level of economic development, the attraction effect of the improvement of global trade liberalization network position on FDI is significantly weakened.

关 键 词：贸易自由化 外商直接投资 社会网络分析 调节效应 门槛效应 

分 类 号：F742[经济管理—国际贸易]