中国与“一带一路”国家贸易合作的第三国效应研究——基于自然资源禀赋和技术创新的双重视角  

Research on the Third-country Effects of Bilateral Trade Cooperation between China and Countries along the Belt and Road——Based on the Perspective of Natural Resource Endowment and Technological Innovation

作　　者：徐俊 李金叶[1] XU Jun;LI Jinye(School of Economics and Management,Xinjiang University,Urumqi,Xinjiang,830000)

机构地区：[1]新疆大学经济与管理学院,新疆乌鲁木齐830000

出　　处：《国际商务（对外经济贸易大学学报）》2022年第3期19-33,共15页INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS

基　　金：教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金项目“中国与中亚非资源型产业合作研究”(19YJA790040)。

摘　　要：本文基于新经济地理学视角,从自然资源禀赋和技术创新两个维度,运用空间计量模型检验2000—2019年中国与“一带一路”国家贸易合作的第三国效应及其产品异质性。研究表明:中国与“一带一路”国家贸易合作存在显著的空间依赖性;中国与“一带一路”国家贸易合作往来不仅受到东道国自身自然资源禀赋和技术创新水平的影响,也会受到第三国自然资源禀赋和技术创新水平,以及影响第三国自然资源禀赋和技术创新不可观测因素的影响;与第三国自然资源禀赋存在“竞次效应”,而在技术创新方面存在“扩散效应”;异质性分析发现,自然资源禀赋在劳动密集型和技术密集型贸易中的第三国效应显著,技术创新在技术密集型和资本密集型贸易中的第三国效应明显。Based on the spatial econometric perspective of the new economic geography, this paper examines the third-country effect and spatial heterogeneity of trade cooperation between China and countries along the Belt and Road from the two dimensions of natural resource endowment and technological innovation during 2000-2019. The results show that there is significant spatial dependence in trade cooperation between China and the Belt and the Road countries. Bilateral trade cooperation between China and the Belt and Road countries is not only affected by the host country’s own natural resource endowment and technological innovation level, but also by the third-country’s resource endowment and technological innovation level, as well as the unobservable factors that affect the third-country’s natural resource and technological innovation. The natural resource endowment of third-countries has a competition effect, while technological innovation has a cooperative diffusion effect. It is further discovered that there is significant heterogeneity in the third-country effect of natural resource endowments and technological innovation in different types of trade. Natural resource endowment has a significant third-country effect in labor-intensive and technology-intensive trade, and technological innovation has a significant third-country effect in technology-intensive and capital-intensive trade.

关 键 词：“一带一路”倡议 贸易合作 第三国效应 自然资源禀赋 技术创新 

分 类 号：F746[经济管理—国际贸易] F752[经济管理—产业经济]