基于Logit-ISM模型的农户耕地保护意愿与行为的悖离研究——以武汉城市圈为例  

Study on Farmers′ Cultivated Land Protection Willingness and Behavior Paradox Using Logit and Interpretive Structural Model:Example from Wuhan Metropolitan Area

作　　者：陈银蓉 王晓妹 梅昀 CHEN Yin-rong;WANG Xiao-mei;MEI Yun(College of Public Administration,Huazhong Agricultural University,Wuhan 430070,China)

机构地区：[1]华中农业大学公共管理学院,湖北武汉430070

出　　处：《长江流域资源与环境》2022年第4期927-936,共10页Resources and Environment in the Yangtze Basin

基　　金：教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金项目(20YJAZH015)。

摘　　要：将农户的耕地保护意愿转化为行为,使其意愿与行为统一起来,是解决耕地保护问题的有效措施之一。把社会嵌入理论运用到农户耕地保护中,采用二元Logit模型测算社会嵌入因素对农户耕地保护意愿与行为悖离的影响程度,借助ISM模型进一步探究农户耕地保护意愿与行为悖离的影响因素之间的关联关系和层次结构,分析各影响因素的作用路径。结果表明:(1)农户受教育程度、就业情况、农业收入占比、耕地面积、政策宣传、经济产出价值认知、社会保障价值认知、人际信任、制度信任、强连接网络对农户耕地保护意愿与行为的悖离具有显著影响;(2)农户的受教育程度、就业情况、耕地面积和政策宣传是深层根源因素,这些根源因素通过影响农业收入占比、人际信任、制度信任和强连接网络,进而影响农户经济产出价值认知和社会保障价值认知这两个驱动农户耕地保护意愿与行为发生悖离的表层直接因素。Converting farmers′ cultivated land protection willingness into behavior,and unifying their willingness and behavior,is one of the effective measures to solve the problem of cultivated land protection.In this paper,the theory of social embeddedness is applied to farmers’ cultivated land protection.Firstly use Logit model to measure the degree of social embedded factors influencing farmers′ cultivated land protection willingness and behavior paradox,and then use interpretive structural model to further analyze the relationship and hierarchy between the various factors.The results show that:(1) Farmers′ education level,employment status,percentage of agricultural income,arable land area,policy propaganda,economic output value cognition,social security value cognition,interpersonal trust,institutional trust,strong connection network have a significant impact on the occurrence mechanism of paradox between farmers′ cultivated land protection willingness and behavior.(2) The education level,employment status,cultivated land area and policy propaganda are deep-rooted factors.These root factors affect the percentage of agricultural income,interpersonal trust,institutional trust and strong connection network.Economic output value cognition,social security value cognition are the direct surface factors that directly drive the occurrence of paradox between farmers′ cultivated land protection willingness and behavior.

关 键 词：耕地保护 意愿与行为 Logit-ISM模型 影响因素 悖离 

分 类 号：F301.2[经济管理—产业经济]