全国残疾人运动会聋人男篮比赛特点及制胜因素分析  

An Analysis of the Characteristics and Winning Factors of Deaf Men’s Basketball Competition in the National Disabled Games

作　　者：王清梅[1] Wang Qingmei(Tianjin College,Beijing University of Science and Technology,Tianjin 301830,China)

机构地区：[1]北京科技大学天津学院,天津301830

出　　处：《体育科技文献通报》2022年第6期7-12,共6页Bulletin of Sport Science & Technology

基　　金：国家社科基金青年项目(项目编号:17CTY021)。

摘　　要：选取本届残运会聋人男篮比赛四分之一决赛及之后的8场比赛数据,通过对其进行统计学分析以及与全运会男篮比赛数据进行对比分析,得到以下主要结果:(1)通过显著性检验与方差分析发现,残运会聋人男篮比赛与全运会男篮比赛有比较明显的差异,但残运会聋人男篮在四分之一决赛和奖牌争夺战中的发挥更加稳定,也体现了残疾人运动员一贯的拼搏和全力以赴精神。(2)聋人男篮进攻投篮命中率偏低,内线进攻较少,稳定性不高,得分能力略有不足。(3)用主成分分析研究残运会聋人男篮比赛的制胜因素,发现助攻、抢断等因素在很大程度上影响着比赛结果,用分析所得3个主成分预测北京队与辽宁队再次对阵成绩,辽宁队获胜几率较大。This paper selects the data of the quarter finals and the followed eight games of the deaf men’s basketball in the National Disabled Games as the research object.Through statistical analysis and comparative analysis with the data of the men’s basketball competition in the National Games, the following main results are obtained:(a)Through significance test and variance analysis, it is found that there are obvious differences between the deaf men’s basketball competition in the National Disabled Games and the men’s basketball competition in the National Games, but the former made a more stable performance in the quarterfinals and medal competition, which also reflects the disabled athletes’ consistent fighting and all-out spirit.(b)The deaf men’s basketball team’s offensive shooting hit rate is low, the interior attack is less, the stability is not high, and the scoring ability is slightly insufficient.(c)Through principal component analysis, this paper studies the winning factors of the deaf men’s basketball game in the National Disabled Games.It is found that the factors such as assists and steals affect the game results to a great extent, and three principal components are obtained.It is predicted that Liaoning team has a high probability of winning when Beijing team and Liaoning team meet again.

关 键 词：残运会 聋人男篮 显著性 制胜因素 神经网络 

分 类 号：G841[文化科学—体育训练]